Tennis · resolved market
ITF Guimaraes: Katarina Kuzmova vs Lauryn John-Baptiste
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b3fbb80049644af188fd60903f325a57ec73f74f15d5f52881a14f78f0e5235
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Katarina Kuzmovaof Katarina Kuzmova, Lauryn John-Baptiste
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,537
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,743
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,537 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Katarina Kuzmova | 72c | 4,437$3,210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,227.2 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Lauryn John-Baptiste | 28c | 4,275$1,202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,201.86 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Katarina Kuzmova | 72c | 3,896$2,804 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.48 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Lauryn John-Baptiste | 26c | 2,351$612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.66 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Katarina Kuzmova | 72c | 540.7$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.72 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce26…8e06backed Lauryn John-Baptiste | 28c | 348.67$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.14 | 193 | 49.7%96 W · 97 L | -7.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2965…0dedbacked Lauryn John-Baptiste | 31c | 144.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 585 | 39.5%231 W · 354 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Katarina Kuzmova | 75c | 132.9$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.9 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7422…8a59backed Lauryn John-Baptiste | 26c | 106.16$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Lauryn John-Baptiste | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x773e…7502backed Lauryn John-Baptiste | 28c | 75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Lauryn John-Baptiste | 16c | 65.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Katarina Kuzmova | 69c | 63.92$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.82 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7885…1173backed Lauryn John-Baptiste | 30c | 46.37$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.71 | 166 | 54.8%91 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Katarina Kuzmova | 64c | 42$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Katarina Kuzmova | 44c | 36.48$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.43 | 1,381 | 16.4%227 W · 1,154 L | -108.5wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Katarina Kuzmova | 76c | 33.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Katarina Kuzmova | 74c | 30.03$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 3,798 | 54.9%2,087 W · 1,711 L | +111.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9991…36b8backed Katarina Kuzmova | 76c | 22.16$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 391 | 61.4%240 W · 151 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Katarina Kuzmova | 73c | 18.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 950 | 50.1%476 W · 474 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1d…8986backed Katarina Kuzmova | 78c | 14.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.