Tennis · resolved market
Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b4dc0dd52dad649358d29d17b5c8d36aa4995db86fbf17aaff8fea82359851d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Altmaierof Auger-Aliassime, Altmaier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,286
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x462d…ce9bbacked Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 3,455$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff81…44c9backed Altmaier | 68c | 2,550$1,735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.38 | 1,267 | 56.6%717 W · 550 L | -18.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Altmaier | 42c | 2,092$879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,213.57 | 689 | 35%241 W · 448 L | +9.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Altmaier | 47c | 1,596$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$846.11 | 363 | 46.8%170 W · 193 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x698b…4426backed Altmaier | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580 | 724 | 52.6%381 W · 343 L | +34.5wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Auger-Aliassime | 52c | 822$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$430.98 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Auger-Aliassime | 48c | 600$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$291 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbde7…cf8abacked Auger-Aliassime | 17c | 525$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 78 | 28.2%22 W · 56 L | +11.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +31.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Auger-Aliassime | 53c | 495$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.35 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ff…abd0backed Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 462.7$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.86 | 289 | 47.8%138 W · 151 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Auger-Aliassime | 36c | 413.68$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.92 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Auger-Aliassime | 38c | 390$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.6 | 174 | 36.8%64 W · 110 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94ba…001dbacked Auger-Aliassime | 14c | 300$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 49 | 32.7%16 W · 33 L | +10.8wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +131.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 249.98$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.74 | 587 | 45.7%268 W · 319 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Altmaier | 43c | 240$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.8 | 247 | 47.4%117 W · 130 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 236.7$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 606 | 41.6%252 W · 354 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x276b…c0c8backed Auger-Aliassime | 14c | 212.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.73 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +10.7wins | +0.31per pick | 12cpaid | +212%equal weight | 70+0.18 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 208.07$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.24 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Auger-Aliassime | 27c | 195$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.4 | 482 | 35.9%173 W · 309 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Altmaier | 41c | 169.49$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,510 | 37.7%569 W · 941 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c0…e8d1backed Auger-Aliassime | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Auger-Aliassime | 57c | 105.53$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Auger-Aliassime | 36c | 94.44$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 66.82$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.75 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…c14abacked Auger-Aliassime | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Auger-Aliassime | 55c | 51.79$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.48 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 42.61$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce5f…ab17backed Auger-Aliassime | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed Altmaier | 42c | 39.56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.94 | 940 | 58.4%549 W · 391 L | +21.5wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bbf…f4e6backed Auger-Aliassime | 54c | 33.77$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.24 | 142 | 57%81 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Auger-Aliassime | 50c | 29.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 255 | 50.6%129 W · 126 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Auger-Aliassime | 47c | 29.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.93 | 743 | 46.3%344 W · 399 L | -28.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1479…b778backed Altmaier | 43c | 25.58$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.58 | 129 | 54.3%70 W · 59 L | -10.5wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…aae2backed Auger-Aliassime | 58c | 20.69$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -6.9wins | -0.17per pick | 44cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd78e…6421backed Auger-Aliassime | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 935 | 57.3%536 W · 399 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-1.5) vs Altmaier (+1.5)this page
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Altmaier: Match O/U 36.5Over won
- Auger-Aliassime vs. Altmaier: Match O/U 38.5Over won
- Felix Auger-Aliassime vs. Daniel Altmaier: Total Sets O/U 3.5Over 3.5 won
- Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Daniel AltmaierFelix Auger-Aliassime won
- Set 1 Winner: Auger-Aliassime vs AltmaierAltmaier won
- Set Handicap: Auger-Aliassime (-2.5) vs Altmaier (+2.5)Altmaier won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.