NHL · resolved market
DEL: Loewen Frankfurt vs. Nurnberg Ice Tigers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c04ba582909b6b2aaa1fb46a8c287598438fc2f28c72ef4fb56317f2c90b334
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Nurnberg Ice Tigersof Loewen Frankfurt, Nurnberg Ice Tigers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,546 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 52c | 479.3$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.56 | 865 | 49.1%425 W · 440 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Loewen Frankfurt | 49c | 196.43$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.05 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 53c | 176.6$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79ac…9c87backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 48c | 169.45$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 61c | 161.27$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.34 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Loewen Frankfurt | 47c | 121.19$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.96 | 138 | 45.7%63 W · 75 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Loewen Frankfurt | 49c | 120.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92fc…2f25backed Loewen Frankfurt | 46c | 115.64$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.19 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 54c | 107.56$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.48 | 124 | 48.4%60 W · 64 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3c…b4f5backed Loewen Frankfurt | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x864f…ebe6backed Loewen Frankfurt | 48c | 101.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 59cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Loewen Frankfurt | 48c | 96$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.08 | 337 | 45.7%154 W · 183 L | -6.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5814…229abacked Loewen Frankfurt | 47c | 85.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Loewen Frankfurt | 46c | 65.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.18 | 130 | 49.2%64 W · 66 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 53c | 64.14$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.14 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5b…b58bbacked Loewen Frankfurt | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Loewen Frankfurt | 54c | 39.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 272 | 50%136 W · 136 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 76c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.29 | 153 | 68%104 W · 49 L | +11.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 76c | 25.72$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.08 | 199 | 64.3%128 W · 71 L | +21.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdf58…711fbacked Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 54c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.5 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66f1…d9cebacked Loewen Frankfurt | 51c | 20.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe64b…9cf1backed Loewen Frankfurt | 52c | 20.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46bb…cba7backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20a8…d960backed Nurnberg Ice Tigers | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 366 | 62%227 W · 139 L | +39.1wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.