South American Leagues · resolved market
Botafogo FR vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c070ae99ec65fa12013e2ab67cbecaa6625b161a65605c335909c1febeccc27
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,574
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,510
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,574 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9aba…5aeebacked Yes | 51c | 1,964$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 49c | 1,146$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.02 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 60c | 1,125$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$451.58 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 50c | 452.06$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.49 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 309.46$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.26 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 32c | 266.69$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 391 | 27.1%106 W · 285 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 52c | 232.63$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8a…1fb3backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x125f…b7e8backed Yes | 47c | 223.19$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.34 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Yes | 49c | 189.98$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.09 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 65c | 141.48$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.88 | 1,328 | 57%757 W · 571 L | +57.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked No | 48c | 117.52$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.11 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2961…cfcfbacked Yes | 52c | 114.64$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -16%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked Yes | 54c | 105.65$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8007…4245backed Yes | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Yes | 51c | 98.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -7.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed No | 72c | 76.98$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.55 | 284 | 43%122 W · 162 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb166…3105backed No | 46c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.4 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +51.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.46 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f9…3ab4backed Yes | 45c | 46.27$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.82 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd573…f99ebacked Yes | 51c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Botafogo FR vs. Cruzeiro EC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Botafogo FR vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Botafogo FR vs. Cruzeiro EC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.