Tennis · resolved market
Tucuman: Ryan Dickerson vs Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c0a38c95ce373fecc1dc7399b44f0f5a7eea8a8ae72dc9c2ffd4c7b73efe014
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Matheus Pucinelli de Almeidaof Ryan Dickerson, Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,875
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,571
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,875 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Ryan Dickerson | 13c | 4,686$595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$595.29 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Ryan Dickerson | 14c | 4,394$615 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$614.76 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1df2…89a0backed Ryan Dickerson | 3c | 3,702$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.27 | 2,065 | 35.2%727 W · 1,338 L | -52.7wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3709…bb80backed Ryan Dickerson | 16c | 2,351$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.69 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x63f5…09ddbacked Ryan Dickerson | 2c | 2,000$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 78 | 11.5%9 W · 69 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 6cpaid | +74.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d07…b9febacked Ryan Dickerson | 1c | 1,158$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.58 | 320 | 8.8%28 W · 292 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Ryan Dickerson | 9c | 1,078$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 2,085 | 44.5%928 W · 1,157 L | -51.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Ryan Dickerson | 4c | 956.16$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Ryan Dickerson | 14c | 900$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 538 | 43.5%234 W · 304 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Ryan Dickerson | 10c | 822.92$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed Ryan Dickerson | 11c | 710.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 372 | 30.4%113 W · 259 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ryan Dickerson | 2c | 562$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Ryan Dickerson | 16c | 499.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.9 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed Ryan Dickerson | 14c | 499.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 856 | 34.2%293 W · 563 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Ryan Dickerson | 12c | 357.09$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.93 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Ryan Dickerson | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 392 | 54.1%212 W · 180 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a74…ae2bbacked Ryan Dickerson | 14c | 312.5$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.75 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd95…08b8backed Ryan Dickerson | 7c | 230$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 82 | 8.5%7 W · 75 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e0…5a1bbacked Ryan Dickerson | 16c | 201.88$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.93 | 215 | 33.5%72 W · 143 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f8…68ccbacked Ryan Dickerson | 12c | 189$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 726 | 38.8%282 W · 444 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e67…dad6backed Ryan Dickerson | 12c | 160$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64e8…7819backed Ryan Dickerson | 14c | 131.25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.19 | 1,882 | 35.5%669 W · 1,213 L | +26.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Matheus Pucinelli de Almeida | 80c | 110$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe0f6…a5eebacked Ryan Dickerson | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 599 | 54.9%329 W · 270 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Ryan Dickerson | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 210 | 56.2%118 W · 92 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Ryan Dickerson | 12c | 97.23$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Ryan Dickerson | 12c | 92.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Ryan Dickerson | 11c | 91.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.