Lol · resolved market
LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Lodis - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c2c1f4555ae526c88e1f6500fdb3184fd24c8005a431159c4b33d647ffe38cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lodisof Barcząca Esports, Lodis
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,795
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,322
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,795 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2518…254fbacked Barcząca Esports | 46c | 1,488$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.98 | 533 | 55%293 W · 240 L | +23.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Lodis | 20c | 600$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Lodis | 69c | 554.63$382 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$172.48 | 1,731 | 44.2%765 W · 966 L | -28.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Barcząca Esports | 45c | 442.65$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.19 | 695 | 39.1%272 W · 423 L | -36.4wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Barcząca Esports | 80c | 319.87$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.89 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Barcząca Esports | 76c | 310.05$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.94 | 1,924 | 35.9%691 W · 1,233 L | -97.7wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Barcząca Esports | 4c | 257$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 993 | 38.6%383 W · 610 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf163…ca34backed Lodis | 55c | 234.04$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.68 | 1,477 | 48.3%713 W · 764 L | +45.1wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Lodis | 13c | 145.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.39 | 820 | 44%361 W · 459 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Lodis | 67c | 100.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.19 | 1,728 | 29.5%509 W · 1,219 L | -123.2wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Barcząca Esports | 72c | 90.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.82 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Lodis | 78c | 88.39$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 3,131 | 33.8%1,058 W · 2,073 L | -150.7wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Lodis | 61c | 86.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.23 | 332 | 51.5%171 W · 161 L | +33.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Lodis | 17c | 85.24$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.75 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Barcząca Esports | 53c | 85$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.65 | 2,905 | 38.5%1,119 W · 1,786 L | -118.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed Barcząca Esports | 39c | 72$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 607 | 38.7%235 W · 372 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lodis | 27c | 68.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x65cf…5cdebacked Lodis | 26c | 39.22$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.02 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Lodis | 75c | 30$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Barcząca Esports | 41c | 26.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.96 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Lodis - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: BCE (-1.5) vs Lodis (+1.5)Lodis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Lodis (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular SeasonLodis won
- LoL: Barcząca Esports vs Lodis - Game 2 WinnerLodis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.