Tennis · resolved market
Bloomfield Hills: Michael Zheng vs Alan Magadan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c3907c77bce9f9157ee7200f6139aa323c0f6f6686fbdd51a9bd8a6cf6f4908
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Michael Zhengof Michael Zheng, Alan Magadan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,814
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,814 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Alan Magadan | 8c | 5,195$414 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$414.31 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Alan Magadan | 2c | 4,267$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.09 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Alan Magadan | 7c | 1,323$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf334…0606backed Alan Magadan | 5c | 999.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 42 | 14.3%6 W · 36 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Alan Magadan | 8c | 961$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.34 | 1,365 | 43.3%591 W · 774 L | -26.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d42…f124backed Alan Magadan | 7c | 895.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.24 | 179 | 33%59 W · 120 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Alan Magadan | 2c | 831.3$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.52 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Alan Magadan | 9c | 547.2$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Alan Magadan | 8c | 408.8$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.66 | 291 | 49.5%144 W · 147 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Alan Magadan | 13c | 399.18$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.08 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Alan Magadan | 8c | 299.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 877 | 41.3%362 W · 515 L | -14.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa11…650bbacked Alan Magadan | 4c | 250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 75 | 12%9 W · 66 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Alan Magadan | 6c | 212.76$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Alan Magadan | 9c | 200.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Alan Magadan | 11c | 199.96$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…b795backed Alan Magadan | 7c | 171.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.38 | 541 | 41.4%224 W · 317 L | -19.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf433…efd3backed Alan Magadan | 9c | 161.54$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e3…7982backed Alan Magadan | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 97 | 22.7%22 W · 75 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b46…ed0dbacked Michael Zheng | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 324 | 52.5%170 W · 154 L | -15.3wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -11%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bloomfield Hills: Michael Zheng vs Alan Magadanthis page
- Set Handicap: Zheng (-1.5) vs Magadan (+1.5)Zheng won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.