CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c40384c93b51819d5aa5ec3e873d48dcd3c96ddb78243d39f8bdf686de0ecdb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, KOLESIE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,391
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,557
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,391 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed Sinners | 77c | 2,000$1,535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465 | 88 | 62.5%55 W · 33 L | -3.8wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed KOLESIE | 25c | 1,352$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.03 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd57b…c48fbacked Sinners | 75c | 1,216$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.93 | 70 | 62.9%44 W · 26 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 70cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed KOLESIE | 30c | 945.39$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.93 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Sinners | 69c | 794.17$546 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.78 | 435 | 44.6%194 W · 241 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde8f…2c72backed Sinners | 58c | 777.69$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.15 | 280 | 56.4%158 W · 122 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked KOLESIE | 22c | 618.4$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.42 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked KOLESIE | 31c | 564.7$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.67 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e1…49ddbacked KOLESIE | 26c | 451.15$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 1,398 | 48.4%676 W · 722 L | +11.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Sinners | 60c | 363.72$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.89 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked KOLESIE | 35c | 342.35$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.39 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed KOLESIE | 18c | 310.54$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.05 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22c7…3e23backed Sinners | 48c | 301.17$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.61 | 140 | 37.1%52 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed KOLESIE | 52c | 290.41$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.01 | 454 | 65.9%299 W · 155 L | +20.8wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5833…235abacked Sinners | 60c | 270.31$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Sinners | 56c | 264.92$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.22 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b6…e762backed Sinners | 61c | 248.69$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.99 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -5.4wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed KOLESIE | 24c | 237.5$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.95 | 573 | 22.3%128 W · 445 L | -4.0wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed KOLESIE | 23c | 235.87$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.85 | 299 | 34.4%103 W · 196 L | -12.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc984…4141backed Sinners | 69c | 235.01$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.85 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked KOLESIE | 31c | 208.09$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed KOLESIE | 31c | 195.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.05 | 447 | 48.1%215 W · 232 L | +17.3wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf99e…bde6backed Sinners | 78c | 195.11$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.83 | 587 | 62.2%365 W · 222 L | +20.9wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…eef4backed KOLESIE | 28c | 170.86$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.84 | 141 | 51.8%73 W · 68 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed KOLESIE | 19c | 155.04$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7a14…d748backed KOLESIE | 52c | 146.94$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.75 | 573 | 58.8%337 W · 236 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed KOLESIE | 25c | 140$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 576 | 41.1%237 W · 339 L | -21.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Sinners | 50c | 139$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.07 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed KOLESIE | 27c | 115$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5cdf…8666backed KOLESIE | 22c | 106$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 185 | 45.4%84 W · 101 L | +9.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Sinners | 76c | 105.48$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.12 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Sinners | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked KOLESIE | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +7.9wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf462…2cd4backed Sinners | 75c | 99.24$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.81 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.19per pick | 54cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4177…a2b4backed Sinners | 53c | 91.78$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.19 | 1,248 | 41.3%516 W · 732 L | +5.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed Sinners | 75c | 79.07$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xde7f…d8dbbacked Sinners | 47c | 76.63$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.53 | 207 | 44%91 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked KOLESIE | 39c | 75.29$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.36 | 719 | 51%367 W · 352 L | +28.8wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KOLESIE | 24c | 74.64$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.62 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Sinners | 73c | 67.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.43 | 858 | 51.6%443 W · 415 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KOLESIE | 51c | 66$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.68 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Sinners | 70c | 63.35$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.03 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed KOLESIE | 38c | 61.91$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.65 | 4,064 | 50.9%2,067 W · 1,997 L | +69.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked KOLESIE | 32c | 55.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…fb3dbacked Sinners | 69c | 54.96$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 354 | 66.1%234 W · 120 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a72…0a38backed KOLESIE | 22c | 53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 414 | 36.7%152 W · 262 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Sinners | 61c | 52.09$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.38 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked KOLESIE | 24c | 51.7$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.41 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked KOLESIE | 20c | 50.15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb00…fda1backed Sinners | 71c | 37.21$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.76 | 411 | 47.7%196 W · 215 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed KOLESIE | 42c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed KOLESIE | 38c | 32.74$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Sinners | 52c | 32$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 363 | 34.2%124 W · 239 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked Sinners | 71c | 22.65$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1643…6ec8backed Sinners | 59c | 19.51$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 45 | 77.8%35 W · 10 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x09f4…58c4backed Sinners | 71c | 14.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.27 | 117 | 68.4%80 W · 37 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x290e…0783backed Sinners | 74c | 13.57$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +66.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs KOLESIE - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs KOLESIE (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS PlayoffsSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs KOLESIE - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.