CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Sinners vs KOLESIE (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe5c41a8856d431d49bf1c1bfd5b0d1c54b0daa9d144386978372b5c49c37e61e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sinnersof Sinners, KOLESIE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,623
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,522
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,623 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Sinners | 70c | 4,154$2,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.55 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeed5…7f92backed KOLESIE | 30c | 2,361$708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$708.23 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Sinners | 79c | 950.51$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.76 | 6,501 | 42.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L | -79.3wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed KOLESIE | 31c | 794.49$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.08 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6179…6f80backed KOLESIE | 23c | 529.09$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.04 | 503 | 40.2%202 W · 301 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceae…2f49backed KOLESIE | 21c | 458.61$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.05 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed KOLESIE | 29c | 453.58$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.54 | 1,423 | 33.6%478 W · 945 L | +41.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa6c…a9b3backed Sinners | 71c | 444.25$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.83 | 1,178 | 54.5%642 W · 536 L | -36.7wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked KOLESIE | 17c | 417.27$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -19.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd7…0a94backed KOLESIE | 9c | 415.98$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +25.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17cd…7423backed KOLESIE | 30c | 415.13$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.54 | 463 | 43.2%200 W · 263 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf40…695dbacked KOLESIE | 9c | 409.36$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.84 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a9…e51abacked KOLESIE | 12c | 402.75$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803f…b6b3backed KOLESIE | 27c | 344.68$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.69 | 74 | 36.5%27 W · 47 L | +6.6wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +25%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked KOLESIE | 18c | 343.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.29 | 2,397 | 42.7%1,023 W · 1,374 L | -73.6wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x407d…574bbacked Sinners | 77c | 322.12$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.64 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked KOLESIE | 12c | 293.54$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.49 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked KOLESIE | 19c | 213.08$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.74 | 389 | 42.4%165 W · 224 L | -15.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5887…994ebacked KOLESIE | 17c | 200.73$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 109 | 50.5%55 W · 54 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed KOLESIE | 30c | 200$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Sinners | 71c | 148.68$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 1,262 | 46.9%592 W · 670 L | -34.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked KOLESIE | 17c | 135.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.46 | 3,267 | 45.5%1,485 W · 1,782 L | -85.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed KOLESIE | 14c | 132.78$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.59 | 2,393 | 46.7%1,118 W · 1,275 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb71…4371backed Sinners | 71c | 90$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 873 | 51.2%447 W · 426 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93af…32abbacked KOLESIE | 38c | 89.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed Sinners | 76c | 89.12$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.39 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4105…9f14backed KOLESIE | 30c | 86.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 111 | 27%30 W · 81 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed KOLESIE | 17c | 83.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 2,102 | 16.8%353 W · 1,749 L | -286.5wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Sinners | 79c | 70$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.7 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked KOLESIE | 26c | 66.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.42 | 1,632 | 43.2%705 W · 927 L | -32.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3534…a1b3backed KOLESIE | 38c | 58.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -3.3wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -66.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7344…98f6backed KOLESIE | 34c | 42.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x460e…607cbacked Sinners | 78c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 33 | 75.8%25 W · 8 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb14d…8f95backed Sinners | 65c | 22.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6f…3224backed Sinners | 67c | 22.49$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8487…c1dbbacked Sinners | 70c | 21.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.31 | 486 | 52.3%254 W · 232 L | -21.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Sinners | 76c | 20.91$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.93 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed Sinners | 71c | 20.01$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs KOLESIE (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs KOLESIE - Map 1 WinnerSinners won
- Counter-Strike: Sinners vs KOLESIE - Map 2 WinnerSinners won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.