Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-05-09?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c43f1b214a3c0069d51b13a389508ab8b16a723651c15a85f6e88f7a9ef6e04
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,238
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,651
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,238 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf747…7d29backed No | 44c | 2,255$992 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.55 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 52c | 1,918$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.86 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 42c | 931.1$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.43 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb881…20a1backed No | 71c | 705.77$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.77 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 30c | 404.88$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.04 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Yes | 31c | 366.81$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.86 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 43c | 300$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked No | 72c | 276.06$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.06 | 73 | 58.9%43 W · 30 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed Yes | 29c | 241.81$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.12 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73ad…fb53backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 69c | 227.1$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 30c | 224.92$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.46 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f9…9419backed Yes | 30c | 200$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd785…0d7ebacked Yes | 10c | 199.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.98 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…9a4cbacked No | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +26%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e4d…1a1fbacked No | 72c | 96.02$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.02 | 64 | 53.1%34 W · 30 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked Yes | 30c | 62.46$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8a…e03fbacked No | 68c | 59.99$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 70cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3db…97a6backed Yes | 35c | 51.26$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x95e4…5134backed Yes | 23c | 48.14$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.07 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…860fbacked No | 70c | 42.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.86 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 34c | 40.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3946…b565backed No | 77c | 40$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6e…9bc5backed No | 70c | 31.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 70 | 75.7%53 W · 17 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1dc6…0f52backed No | 66c | 31.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.56 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x35d1…1f70backed No | 70c | 28.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.41 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 72c | 20.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-05-09?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Motherwell FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.