Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Motherwell FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4730b70643f6843aa789863e2c55cba7ab86747ab270ba647db342d25f798cf4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,926
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,926 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 6c | 1,880$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.21 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x013d…0574backed No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked No | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf747…7d29backed Yes | 29c | 1,021$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.87 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa557…5e8abacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 0%0 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x324c…93d9backed No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 65c | 661.44$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.47 | 341 | 39.9%136 W · 205 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed No | 20c | 501$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.2 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Yes | 80c | 408.29$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.66 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8544…3d33backed Yes | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 263.38$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.68 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 71c | 227.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.12 | 773 | 50.2%388 W · 385 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 10c | 220.44$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.51 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 63c | 206.78$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.89 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fdc…2234backed Yes | 55c | 143.4$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.62 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6945…729cbacked Yes | 33c | 136.65$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.56 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -46.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 110$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.1 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked No | 58c | 104$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.25 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed No | 61c | 102.63$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.6 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -11.9wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 66c | 84.88$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.41 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 74c | 67.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…5e64backed Yes | 59c | 60.85$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked No | 71c | 60$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.6 | 272 | 46.3%126 W · 146 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 47c | 54$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 72c | 50.5$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.36 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 58c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 71c | 50$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.5 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed No | 41c | 40.85$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.75 | 171 | 49.7%85 W · 86 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ba…bebabacked No | 68c | 19.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.18 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -11.3wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -50%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 63cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Motherwell FC vs. Heart of Midlothian FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Heart of Midlothian FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
- Will Motherwell FC win on 2026-05-09?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.