Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Mercer Bears vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c4cc1bf71383861de3d4f49a80907be2dc4b827dbcfacf3f767aa106c1ecf8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- East Tennessee State Buccaneersof Mercer Bears, East Tennessee State Buccaneers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,606
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,606 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x38c2…d3a7backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 56c | 2,205$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.24 | 160 | 56.9%91 W · 69 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Mercer Bears | 42c | 2,146$902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$902.33 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Mercer Bears | 33c | 1,632$543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$542.81 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 70c | 573$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.91 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Mercer Bears | 27c | 512.68$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.64 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Mercer Bears | 30c | 500$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 65c | 479.92$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.28 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe92e…1e38backed Mercer Bears | 51c | 312.63$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.44 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 65cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ae…f107backed Mercer Bears | 33c | 242.42$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 423 | 27.2%115 W · 308 L | -10.9wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 57c | 239.43$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.95 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89f3…dfffbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 59c | 234.54$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.29 | 1,173 | 25.2%296 W · 877 L | -43.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 59c | 223.81$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.76 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x24d8…e8a8backed Mercer Bears | 40c | 205.55$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 123 | 54.5%67 W · 56 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 64c | 75.91$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.06 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 72c | 64.88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Mercer Bears | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Mercer Bears | 27c | 45.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 490 | 43.1%211 W · 279 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2734…22efbacked East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 72 | 54.2%39 W · 33 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed East Tennessee State Buccaneers | 73c | 17$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.59 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Mercer Bears vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneersthis page
- Mercer Bears vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers: O/U 150.5Under won
- Mercer Bears vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers: O/U 152.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.