CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c6af27c1ba9363ea01b21bf979bf37bc380bdbbd68eae7ad8917d415f22f3fc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Legacyof PARIVISION, Legacy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,508
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,508 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7645…3117backed Legacy | 56c | 6,500$3,640 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.98 | 716 | 45.9%329 W · 387 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8120…54c9backed PARIVISION | 44c | 5,025$2,211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,211 | 208 | 38%79 W · 129 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Legacy | 56c | 5,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,199.97 | 124 | 41.1%51 W · 73 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed PARIVISION | 44c | 3,464$1,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.16 | 248 | 46.8%116 W · 132 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Legacy | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 1,081 | 50.9%550 W · 531 L | +37.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…f361backed PARIVISION | 75c | 1,991$1,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,493.15 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -4.3wins | -0.30per pick | 59cpaid | -45.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9e04…28a9backed Legacy | 25c | 1,987$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,490.6 | 366 | 45.4%166 W · 200 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc006…3c94backed PARIVISION | 44c | 1,558$688 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$688 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | -6.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Legacy | 56c | 1,259$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.2 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Legacy | 54c | 1,223$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$562.5 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8847…fc98backed PARIVISION | 44c | 1,161$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.43 | 248 | 40.7%101 W · 147 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce66…59c4backed PARIVISION | 45c | 1,049$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$473.26 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8581…e74dbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 674.32$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$296.7 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked PARIVISION | 43c | 660.74$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.67 | 1,144 | 49.4%565 W · 579 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8cb…8f46backed Legacy | 54c | 651.39$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.15 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Legacy | 57c | 525.99$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.18 | 602 | 48.7%293 W · 309 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Legacy | 57c | 521.99$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.45 | 170 | 34.7%59 W · 111 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc995…2224backed PARIVISION | 46c | 519.57$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239 | 86 | 44.2%38 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2b…d4d3backed PARIVISION | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 71 | 53.5%38 W · 33 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…7a5dbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 440$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…3038backed PARIVISION | 44c | 436.36$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x94a1…2075backed Legacy | 57c | 419.71$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.87 | 452 | 44.5%201 W · 251 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec4…6529backed PARIVISION | 46c | 419$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.74 | 89 | 44.9%40 W · 49 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked PARIVISION | 45c | 411.12$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.89 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | +6.2wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed PARIVISION | 44c | 367.89$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.87 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Legacy | 57c | 362.68$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.62 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked PARIVISION | 45c | 351.11$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158 | 239 | 52.3%125 W · 114 L | +14.6wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa097…8795backed Legacy | 55c | 350$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 173 | 47.4%82 W · 91 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Legacy | 55c | 329.98$181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Legacy | 54c | 300$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3635…1afdbacked PARIVISION | 43c | 258.14$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac23…c1fcbacked PARIVISION | 46c | 234.78$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -9.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 39-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed PARIVISION | 45c | 222.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 165 | 27.9%46 W · 119 L | -6.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked Legacy | 56c | 214.29$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.29 | 482 | 42.1%203 W · 279 L | -13.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b15…a031backed PARIVISION | 43c | 197.67$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 225 | 54.7%123 W · 102 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe766…404dbacked PARIVISION | 42c | 193.03$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.07 | 139 | 47.5%66 W · 73 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x40d5…bfe9backed PARIVISION | 44c | 166$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.04 | 633 | 45.2%286 W · 347 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed PARIVISION | 43c | 159.77$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.7 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fb…95fbbacked PARIVISION | 44c | 159.09$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 93 | 53.8%50 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953f…15e6backed PARIVISION | 45c | 148.89$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 275 | 56.4%155 W · 120 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked PARIVISION | 43c | 147.73$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.52 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x461f…8719backed PARIVISION | 46c | 141.3$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…5491backed PARIVISION | 44c | 136.36$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb4…8830backed PARIVISION | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafa2…e45cbacked Legacy | 49c | 87.95$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.85 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…ebeabacked PARIVISION | 54c | 86.24$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.57 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed PARIVISION | 47c | 82.19$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 1,676 | 51.1%857 W · 819 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked PARIVISION | 51c | 79.99$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.8 | 251 | 43.8%110 W · 141 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8471…e4f0backed PARIVISION | 44c | 67.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846d…67b3backed PARIVISION | 44c | 47.93$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.09 | 248 | 42.7%106 W · 142 L | -10.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c43…f0c8backed PARIVISION | 43c | 46.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.85 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50ab…70a2backed PARIVISION | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 118 | 42.4%50 W · 68 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57c9…9c9dbacked Legacy | 43c | 44.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.64 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +5.1wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5f88…e6a5backed PARIVISION | 45c | 42.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.8 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 59cpaid | -17%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed Legacy | 42c | 40.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Legacy | 57c | 40$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 821 | 46.3%380 W · 441 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f3…8382backed Legacy | 57c | 36.8$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.82 | 144 | 39.6%57 W · 87 L | -11.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed PARIVISION | 57c | 34.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 166 | 50.6%84 W · 82 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c71…adccbacked PARIVISION | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 68 | 45.6%31 W · 37 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed PARIVISION | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 243 | 50.6%123 W · 120 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6ac0backed PARIVISION | 54c | 30$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…727fbacked Legacy | 48c | 28.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +5.2wins | +0.27per pick | 46cpaid | +78.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x47e1…c2babacked PARIVISION | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 471 | 46.7%220 W · 251 L | +14.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d86…58d7backed PARIVISION | 43c | 27.91$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked PARIVISION | 54c | 24.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.17 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd74…3b5dbacked PARIVISION | 53c | 24.44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 1Legacy won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 1 WinnerLegacy won
- Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Legacy - Map 2 WinnerLegacy won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.