Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon WTA: Alexandra Eala vs Renata Zarazua
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c716cf3633f5c5874490a99e1d6ed79cc58e2594537df5e92207cd5bba2a1f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Alexandra Ealaof Alexandra Eala, Renata Zarazua
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $56,802
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $70,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $56,802 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Renata Zarazua | 8c | 12,042$941 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$941.06 | 8,152 | 45.3%3,695 W · 4,457 L | +155.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Renata Zarazua | 16c | 5,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 168 | 25%42 W · 126 L | -14.2wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Renata Zarazua | 16c | 4,949$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.97 | 5,199 | 28.8%1,496 W · 3,703 L | -18.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Renata Zarazua | 7c | 2,111$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.85 | 8,726 | 36.2%3,161 W · 5,565 L | -187.0wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd546…657bbacked Renata Zarazua | 5c | 1,950$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.42 | 194 | 10.3%20 W · 174 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Renata Zarazua | 14c | 1,750$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$244.99 | 1,404 | 28.7%403 W · 1,001 L | +4.1wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Renata Zarazua | 16c | 1,037$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.98 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b90…2194backed Renata Zarazua | 14c | 999.99$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 290 | 45.9%133 W · 157 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Renata Zarazua | 10c | 933.4$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.69 | 8,396 | 42.6%3,578 W · 4,818 L | -162.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Renata Zarazua | 4c | 877.6$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.78 | 4,875 | 41.5%2,023 W · 2,852 L | -77.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42a…4b3cbacked Renata Zarazua | 9c | 600$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Renata Zarazua | 6c | 571.42$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.29 | 1,474 | 35.1%518 W · 956 L | -14.4wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Renata Zarazua | 11c | 454.55$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Renata Zarazua | 14c | 385.4$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.1 | 2,212 | 42.9%948 W · 1,264 L | +34.4wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5505…aa44backed Renata Zarazua | 15c | 217.33$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.6 | 922 | 37.4%345 W · 577 L | -10.9wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ee…0e41backed Renata Zarazua | 14c | 179.5$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 364 | 35.2%128 W · 236 L | +8.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Renata Zarazua | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 828 | 47.3%392 W · 436 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x586b…52d9backed Renata Zarazua | 14c | 142.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ad5…ccdebacked Renata Zarazua | 14c | 119$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.66 | 550 | 32.7%180 W · 370 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Renata Zarazua | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 1,692 | 48.8%826 W · 866 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf060…fc59backed Renata Zarazua | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 132 | 31.1%41 W · 91 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Renata Zarazua | 15c | 84.62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Renata Zarazua | 15c | 81.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.16 | 1,151 | 48.7%560 W · 591 L | +8.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Renata Zarazua | 15c | 80$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 56 | 19.6%11 W · 45 L | -6.8wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -54%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x323e…1ddabacked Renata Zarazua | 15c | 78.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 635 | 37.6%239 W · 396 L | +20.7wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x985d…33c9backed Renata Zarazua | 17c | 73.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1,300 | 36.9%480 W · 820 L | -34.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2725…e7d1backed Renata Zarazua | 17c | 62.18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.58 | 434 | 52.3%227 W · 207 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.