Tennis · resolved market
ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Marie Mettraux
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c734510b72b90aae7354c218f03fa4e8811705e989093e319485c230a258078
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Ksenia Zaytsevaof Ksenia Zaytseva, Marie Mettraux
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,410
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,905
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,410 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Marie Mettraux | 13c | 1,950$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Marie Mettraux | 31c | 999.99$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x815f…1eefbacked Ksenia Zaytseva | 69c | 992.33$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.62 | 521 | 52.2%272 W · 249 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Marie Mettraux | 25c | 265.61$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.25 | 653 | 46.4%303 W · 350 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Ksenia Zaytseva | 77c | 223.47$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.23 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Ksenia Zaytseva | 68c | 147.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Marie Mettraux | 28c | 142.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x186a…559dbacked Ksenia Zaytseva | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 449 | 52.8%237 W · 212 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Marie Mettraux | 20c | 136.92$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…32a5backed Marie Mettraux | 9c | 117.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 222 | 8.6%19 W · 203 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 8cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe00d…4251backed Ksenia Zaytseva | 74c | 88.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.13 | 197 | 61.4%121 W · 76 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Ksenia Zaytseva | 69c | 72.46$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.46 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfc49…d0ffbacked Marie Mettraux | 30c | 64.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.42 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99d7…6435backed Ksenia Zaytseva | 70c | 61.56$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.47 | 1,148 | 53%608 W · 540 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05a…4635backed Marie Mettraux | 34c | 53.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Marie Mettraux | 23c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Marie Mettraux | 32c | 48.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.17 | 3,987 | 45.5%1,816 W · 2,171 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Ksenia Zaytseva | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marie Mettraux | 36c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3238…6471backed Ksenia Zaytseva | 72c | 23.85$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.73 | 79 | 64.6%51 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Ksenia Zaytseva | 70c | 16.97$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ITF Kursumlijska Banja: Ksenia Zaytseva vs Marie Mettrauxthis page
- Set Handicap: Zaytseva (-1.5) vs Mettraux (+1.5)Zaytseva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.