Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will NK Aluminij win on 2026-07-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3c9ed832bd9945e47cca51bc9cb6b242a1933fe515e8cf0f931625e9283bbfc6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,040
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,040 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 27c | 1,878$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.98 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6e…f544backed Yes | 5c | 982.83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.56 | 293 | 37.9%111 W · 182 L | +6.2wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed No | 65c | 773.99$503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.95 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yes | 22c | 549.99$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.5 | 314 | 30.3%95 W · 219 L | -15.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked No | 65c | 455.12$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.29 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 64c | 448.6$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 34c | 222.99$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.85 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 69c | 165.92$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.43 | 1,316 | 50.8%668 W · 648 L | +33.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 35c | 159.04$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbeca…a1b7backed No | 68c | 146.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe8…1141backed No | 65c | 124.15$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…0bb1backed Yes | 13c | 120$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 55 | 36.4%20 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 113.86$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b78…473dbacked No | 64c | 105$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 130 | 67.7%88 W · 42 L | +12.8wins | +0.10per pick | 58cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Yes | 31c | 87.97$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed No | 64c | 81$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.16 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | -8.0wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa807…cc2ebacked Yes | 30c | 70.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.15 | 138 | 39.1%54 W · 84 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 80c | 44.61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2adb…9e4bbacked Yes | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.8wins | +0.12per pick | 32cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 33c | 40.31$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 197 | 36%71 W · 126 L | +9.3wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Yes | 33c | 39.36$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.99 | 184 | 49.5%91 W · 93 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 72c | 32$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.96 | 453 | 48.3%219 W · 234 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 239 | 51.5%123 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 65c | 24.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.62 | 236 | 53%125 W · 111 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1a7…ace4backed No | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 170 | 59.4%101 W · 69 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked No | 70c | 18.89$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.59 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will NK Aluminij win on 2026-07-23?this page
- Will FC Dinamo City win on 2026-07-23?No won
- Will NK Aluminij vs. FC Dinamo City end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.