CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Aurora Young Blood vs HAVU (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cb7efb07fbb9a259fe80013ef13f75a9bbf92df431c1cb73fa2c4fa7cd79d98
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Aurora Young Bloodof Aurora Young Blood, HAVU
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,060
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,060 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked HAVU | 45c | 2,062$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.91 | 844 | 54.3%458 W · 386 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e4b…220cbacked Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 820.72$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HAVU | 35c | 739.54$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.39 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x236b…26b7backed Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 595$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.1 | 330 | 44.5%147 W · 183 L | +7.8wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 454.55$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.55 | 106 | 51.9%55 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Aurora Young Blood | 57c | 378.17$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.24 | 872 | 44.8%391 W · 481 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HAVU | 46c | 366.67$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.67 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked HAVU | 45c | 346.02$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.22 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66df…7ea5backed Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 272.73$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.73 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Aurora Young Blood | 63c | 260.29$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.98 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed HAVU | 25c | 259.29$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.84 | 253 | 52.2%132 W · 121 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Aurora Young Blood | 54c | 222.22$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.3 | 193 | 44%85 W · 108 L | -6.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe463…f7b2backed HAVU | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 328 | 44.5%146 W · 182 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Aurora Young Blood | 65c | 189.71$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.52 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked HAVU | 44c | 175$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.66 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40fc…498dbacked Aurora Young Blood | 54c | 166.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.67 | 144 | 41%59 W · 85 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdad…9eaebacked Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 253 | 37.9%96 W · 157 L | -14.5wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Aurora Young Blood | 78c | 101.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.14 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05d3…c06abacked HAVU | 47c | 99.15$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 1,710 | 52.3%895 W · 815 L | -73.4wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fc0…8f18backed Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 90$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 169 | 46.7%79 W · 90 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55af…8407backed Aurora Young Blood | 55c | 76.14$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.53 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf2…1e5bbacked HAVU | 44c | 61.22$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.8 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | +13.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x548f…a2b4backed HAVU | 75c | 54.3$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.88 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 69cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked HAVU | 46c | 54$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed HAVU | 45c | 38.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.11 | 456 | 39.3%179 W · 277 L | -29.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e0a…745dbacked Aurora Young Blood | 54c | 37$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.02 | 114 | 50%57 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d0e…13aabacked Aurora Young Blood | 40c | 36.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.86 | 156 | 38.5%60 W · 96 L | -19.6wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1769…94efbacked Aurora Young Blood | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.83 | 916 | 48.9%448 W · 468 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Aurora Young Blood | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.45 | 295 | 47.8%141 W · 154 L | +10.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680d…98b8backed Aurora Young Blood | 77c | 26.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 75 | 69.3%52 W · 23 L | +4.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c49…08ddbacked Aurora Young Blood | 59c | 25.34$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.45 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.32per pick | 57cpaid | +58.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa067…b1cabacked HAVU | 47c | 21.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe7ac…4225backed Aurora Young Blood | 76c | 17.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.15 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3a…fc88backed Aurora Young Blood | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.