Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cc9eb97b58c654ea1fd95772c3445088dfbd1d9b176bbb18ae6b3bbf5c2f9b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ALTERNATE aTTaX Rubyof ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby, FOKUS Sakura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6fda…330cbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 67c | 380$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.4 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.39per pick | 59cpaid | -70.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS Sakura | 4c | 247$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0c71…c0e5backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 42c | 180$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.4 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked FOKUS Sakura | 37c | 180$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.78 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee83…bc59backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 41c | 180$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.2 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +107.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed FOKUS Sakura | 58c | 155$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.9 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 59c | 107.58$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.57 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked FOKUS Sakura | 33c | 100$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 385 | 48.6%187 W · 198 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FOKUS Sakura | 33c | 90.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.68 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 32c | 80$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 77c | 46$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 57c | 41.58$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.85 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 68c | 41$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 321 | 57.6%185 W · 136 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ae…2ff5backed FOKUS Sakura | 34c | 35.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.86 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb47…4737backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 44 | 77.3%34 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.09per pick | 68cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA PlayoffsFOKUS Sakura won
- Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS Sakura won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.