Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64eaaae80bbdcc725fa1fbb9578550d51fd45a001c103489fe954770c3fc1561
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FOKUS Sakuraof ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby, FOKUS Sakura
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x65c1…2988backed FOKUS Sakura | 73c | 2,268$1,655 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$612.27 | 255 | 54.9%140 W · 115 L | +13.6wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4980…5709backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 28c | 1,500$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425.37 | 322 | 45.7%147 W · 175 L | +52.2wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +40.7%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 27c | 550$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.5 | 281 | 43.4%122 W · 159 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa474…32cbbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 28c | 514.92$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.71 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed FOKUS Sakura | 70c | 464.8$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.09 | 443 | 42%186 W · 257 L | -22.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x81d1…4806backed FOKUS Sakura | 74c | 398.57$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 83 | 57.8%48 W · 35 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1602…fbb0backed FOKUS Sakura | 76c | 392.8$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf908…0aafbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 30c | 334.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbea9…677ebacked FOKUS Sakura | 74c | 330.65$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.59 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 17c | 307.16$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 1,608 | 45.2%727 W · 881 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked FOKUS Sakura | 75c | 296.25$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.78 | 1,376 | 47.1%648 W · 728 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x591d…f4dfbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 27c | 222.22$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 131 | 48.1%63 W · 68 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 30c | 207.16$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 121 | 49.6%60 W · 61 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked FOKUS Sakura | 69c | 187.38$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.92 | 1,309 | 43.8%573 W · 736 L | -44.5wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 30c | 175$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.19 | 998 | 46%459 W · 539 L | -27.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac5…f963backed FOKUS Sakura | 78c | 170.31$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.47 | 112 | 46.4%52 W · 60 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 30c | 169.08$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.08 | 930 | 49.4%459 W · 471 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6109…0baabacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 30c | 168.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea6…2d1dbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 31c | 161.61$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x923b…389abacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 13c | 160.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.22per pick | 47cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x47c9…2038backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 31c | 141.36$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 126 | 40.5%51 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8e…0c69backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 33c | 135.55$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.73 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e9…39a0backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbdbb…a2cdbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 27c | 103.7$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked FOKUS Sakura | 73c | 103.46$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 163 | 47.2%77 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f38…a0edbacked FOKUS Sakura | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 30 | 66.7%20 W · 10 L | +4.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 70c | 84$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed FOKUS Sakura | 72c | 80.73$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.6 | 666 | 50.8%338 W · 328 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed FOKUS Sakura | 66c | 79.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.98 | 811 | 34.9%283 W · 528 L | -60.9wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3da8…be26backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 26c | 77.23$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 83 | 49.4%41 W · 42 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 26c | 74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.04 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed FOKUS Sakura | 72c | 66.74$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.02 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e4a…59d9backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 105 | 43.8%46 W · 59 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc800…4117backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 19c | 62$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 33c | 61.34$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 700 | 43.7%306 W · 394 L | -13.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 37c | 61.01$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 1,247 | 49.6%619 W · 628 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 20c | 59.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.61 | 1,601 | 37.5%600 W · 1,001 L | -75.0wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed FOKUS Sakura | 70c | 57.75$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.13 | 195 | 46.2%90 W · 105 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x461b…38ffbacked FOKUS Sakura | 70c | 57.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.21 | 48 | 64.6%31 W · 17 L | +8.9wins | +0.19per pick | 46cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf4…e669backed FOKUS Sakura | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.14per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad89…e006backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 30c | 52.21$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.66 | 237 | 33.8%80 W · 157 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 27c | 49.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 152 | 32.9%50 W · 102 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 23c | 43.48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 241 | 40.2%97 W · 144 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5b…fc11backed FOKUS Sakura | 74c | 43.14$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +3.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1ed1…fd2abacked ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 224 | 40.2%90 W · 134 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3546…1a58backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 29c | 34.49$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 68 | 26.5%18 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed FOKUS Sakura | 53c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 316 | 34.2%108 W · 208 L | -18.8wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked FOKUS Sakura | 68c | 24.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 907 | 33.1%300 W · 607 L | -89.7wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed FOKUS Sakura | 72c | 23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.37 | 175 | 57.1%100 W · 75 L | +15.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2dc3backed ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby | 46c | 21.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xade6…c465backed FOKUS Sakura | 70c | 21.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 653 | 47.3%309 W · 344 L | -18.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed FOKUS Sakura | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93e…7434backed FOKUS Sakura | 74c | 13.89$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.61 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 70cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs FOKUS Sakura (BO3) - VCT Game Changers EMEA Playoffsthis page
- Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 1 WinnerALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby won
- Valorant: ALTERNATE aTTaX Ruby vs FOKUS Sakura - Map 2 WinnerFOKUS Sakura won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.