Other European Leagues · resolved market
Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cdaab15776a560bd09284193200842fb5388bf44b90060b4c128e332eb82aa5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,419
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,419 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 11,195$6,907 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,288.22 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb437…cfb3backed Over | 51c | 5,600$2,856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,855.95 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…307dbacked Over | 64c | 3,304$2,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,099.1 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Over | 19c | 2,632$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.12per pick | 33cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 38c | 2,626$1,004 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,004.15 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cf…8bcbbacked Over | 49c | 1,830$899 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$899 | 73 | 38.4%28 W · 45 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +61%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa36f…180bbacked Under | 48c | 1,691$812 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$879.41 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 46c | 1,355$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.6 | 2,640 | 35.7%942 W · 1,698 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 18c | 1,083$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.64 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34a1…7622backed Under | 58c | 1,016$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.2 | 125 | 46.4%58 W · 67 L | +9.3wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Over | 35c | 974.11$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.89 | 233 | 46.8%109 W · 124 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 44c | 691.46$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.95 | 877 | 45.2%396 W · 481 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked Over | 57c | 686.85$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b3f…5a9fbacked Over | 52c | 576.92$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed Over | 17c | 528.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.33 | 102 | 45.1%46 W · 56 L | +4.0wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…0550backed Over | 17c | 450.37$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 19cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42f…b629backed Over | 22c | 430.07$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.96 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +7.6wins | +0.21per pick | 48cpaid | +41.9%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 52c | 399.23$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.79 | 559 | 54.9%307 W · 252 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd538…6415backed Over | 60c | 375.8$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.43 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Over | 18c | 331.96$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.75 | 136 | 15.4%21 W · 115 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ee…5513backed Over | 16c | 312$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.92 | 106 | 12.3%13 W · 93 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 14cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bf5…2307backed Under | 67c | 286.78$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.93 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Over | 19c | 262.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.89 | 370 | 49.5%183 W · 187 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Over | 45c | 258.85$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.74 | 1,240 | 39.2%486 W · 754 L | -35.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x961c…9d72backed Under | 55c | 257.52$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.87 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a1…30d1backed Over | 13c | 228$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.64 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x760b…6dc8backed Over | 52c | 206.4$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.33 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…0322backed Over | 48c | 206.25$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x259b…a2d3backed Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed3…274cbacked Under | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +4.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 62c | 201.61$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd0a0…35cdbacked Over | 52c | 201.42$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.74 | 149 | 49%73 W · 76 L | -9.4wins | -0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e34…63f7backed Under | 67c | 200$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Under | 51c | 182.61$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.17per pick | 40cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 58c | 181.73$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.47 | 2,012 | 35.5%714 W · 1,298 L | -27.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 52c | 170$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.4 | 108 | 55.6%60 W · 48 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x793c…1b9ebacked Over | 33c | 166$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Under | 55c | 160.32$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.32 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb3…4d75backed Over | 62c | 156.98$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0852…655cbacked Over | 20c | 149.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 59c | 135.97$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 217 | 67.7%147 W · 70 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Over | 61c | 122.95$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 223 | 49.3%110 W · 113 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1399…48c8backed Over | 30c | 122$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.6 | 309 | 63.1%195 W · 114 L | +45.1wins | +0.15per pick | 49cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 62c | 118$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.16 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 50c | 114$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Under | 40c | 104$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.41 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1155…2315backed Under | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 40 | 82.5%33 W · 7 L | +5.9wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa2e…c5d2backed Under | 76c | 100$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Over | 17c | 99.99$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 260 | 51.5%134 W · 126 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 19c | 99.63$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 1,434 | 37.7%540 W · 894 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd35d…bfb7backed Under | 54c | 92.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2deb…a787backed Over | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x66bf…07e8backed Over | 24c | 78.58$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 118 | 41.5%49 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Over | 18c | 74.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 136 | 50%68 W · 68 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Over | 18c | 70.95$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 205 | 50.7%104 W · 101 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…cecfbacked Under | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.67 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92be…2230backed Over | 50c | 65.26$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9900…5cc9backed Over | 56c | 63.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f75…ce35backed Under | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd60c…2b06backed Over | 32c | 51.94$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 347 | 60.8%211 W · 136 L | +33.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbb7…0acebacked Over | 61c | 40.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | -5.9wins | -0.22per pick | 44cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Over | 46c | 38.62$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.85 | 338 | 53.3%180 W · 158 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddd…73b2backed Under | 49c | 35.17$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 104 | 56.7%59 W · 45 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dde…30b1backed Over | 50c | 33.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.62 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d2d…2be7backed Under | 77c | 31.78$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.23 | 18 | 77.8%14 W · 4 L | +4.1wins | +0.23per pick | 55cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Under | 49c | 30.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 59cpaid | +52.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ec6…d9edbacked Over | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.37per pick | 57cpaid | -74.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x56fb…3a1bbacked Under | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Under | 54c | 28.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7bf…48adbacked Over | 47c | 25.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab95…6c79backed Under | 56c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.74 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Under | 51c | 19.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.69 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 70c | 19.67$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.93 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 61cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Under | 69c | 18.28$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.72 | 74 | 55.4%41 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 20 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 4.5this page
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: 1st Half O/U 0.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: 1st Half O/U 1.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: 1st Half O/U 2.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: Kalmar FF O/U 0.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: Kalmar FF O/U 2.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: Malmo FF 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: Malmo FF O/U 0.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: Malmo FF O/U 1.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: Malmo FF O/U 2.5Under won
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 0.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 2.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 3.5Over won
- Kalmar FF vs. Malmo FF: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spread: Kalmar FF (-1.5)Malmo FF won
- Spread: Kalmar FF (-2.5)Malmo FF won
- Spread: Malmo FF (-1.5)Kalmar FF won
- Spread: Malmo FF (-2.5)Kalmar FF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.