Tennis · resolved market
ITF Zhengzhou: Yidi Yang vs Junhan Zhang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3da0291fb118b84e338ad9a5f9dd11b68d10207cd20f74e42119b25e02b777e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Junhan Zhangof Yidi Yang, Junhan Zhang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,064
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,223
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,064 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Yidi Yang | 3c | 949$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 4,975 | 38.6%1,922 W · 3,053 L | -19.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Junhan Zhang | 59c | 384.14$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.27 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yidi Yang | 50c | 353.56$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.48 | 1,228 | 23.1%284 W · 944 L | -164.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -47%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Yidi Yang | 73c | 228$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$166.44 | 7,753 | 47.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L | +39.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yidi Yang | 39c | 206.81$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.02 | 5,498 | 48.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L | +10.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Junhan Zhang | 28c | 185.47$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.01 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c18…2f76backed Junhan Zhang | 30c | 147.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 1,842 | 41%755 W · 1,087 L | -31.4wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Yidi Yang | 73c | 95.52$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca6…6d74backed Yidi Yang | 56c | 94.79$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.98 | 71 | 29.6%21 W · 50 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Junhan Zhang | 26c | 90$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.38 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Junhan Zhang | 58c | 87.48$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.74 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c9…6686backed Yidi Yang | 73c | 80.62$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.85 | 1,337 | 46%615 W · 722 L | +23.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Yidi Yang | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 418 | 51.7%216 W · 202 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Yidi Yang | 72c | 70$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yidi Yang | 31c | 67.2$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.83 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b6b…ec86backed Junhan Zhang | 46c | 64.04$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.58 | 1,062 | 31.8%338 W · 724 L | -27.2wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x18d8…400bbacked Junhan Zhang | 27c | 52.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.44 | 346 | 27.7%96 W · 250 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc15c…a6b0backed Junhan Zhang | 27c | 45.62$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 289 | 58.1%168 W · 121 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff6…0918backed Junhan Zhang | 27c | 41.47$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.13 | 498 | 57%284 W · 214 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19d…aea3backed Yidi Yang | 73c | 41.1$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe321…b456backed Junhan Zhang | 48c | 37.5$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 91 | 45.1%41 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefbc…b344backed Junhan Zhang | 48c | 26.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 301 | 47.5%143 W · 158 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9081…8a6ebacked Yidi Yang | 76c | 25.8$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.61 | 417 | 68.1%284 W · 133 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 73cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd436…18a9backed Yidi Yang | 75c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.93 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Yidi Yang | 73c | 24$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.52 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Yidi Yang | 74c | 22.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.54 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…ff4fbacked Junhan Zhang | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Yidi Yang | 76c | 18.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.17 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Yidi Yang | 72c | 15.78$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 1,107 | 52.8%585 W · 522 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.