Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Colgate Raiders vs. Navy Midshipmen
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e387786f9adb9a5a38c8697d81a94b9a5cae35c65a327bd14f0de1d2a4b9532
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navy Midshipmenof Colgate Raiders, Navy Midshipmen
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,979
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,063
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,979 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Colgate Raiders | 30c | 2,190$646 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$646.24 | 841 | 47.4%399 W · 442 L | -13.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Navy Midshipmen | 78c | 1,984$1,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.36 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Navy Midshipmen | 71c | 1,767$1,258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.9 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Colgate Raiders | 12c | 1,510$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.06 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Colgate Raiders | 26c | 976.97$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.28 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed Colgate Raiders | 28c | 663.02$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.18 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cb…d096backed Colgate Raiders | 17c | 656.01$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.56 | 349 | 43.3%151 W · 198 L | -15.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Navy Midshipmen | 74c | 520.54$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.19 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Navy Midshipmen | 71c | 466.94$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.15 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Navy Midshipmen | 80c | 438.88$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.89 | 709 | 36.1%256 W · 453 L | -27.3wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Colgate Raiders | 22c | 404.58$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.71 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Navy Midshipmen | 71c | 391.45$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.96 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Colgate Raiders | 30c | 297.8$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Colgate Raiders | 7c | 285.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 136 | 3.7%5 W · 131 L | -8.2wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Colgate Raiders | 30c | 206.52$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.08 | 922 | 46%424 W · 498 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf43c…d7c3backed Navy Midshipmen | 71c | 200$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 491 | 57.2%281 W · 210 L | +18.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Colgate Raiders | 14c | 190.67$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 771 | 42.3%326 W · 445 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -17%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f51…e179backed Colgate Raiders | 8c | 149.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Colgate Raiders | 28c | 143.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.01 | 621 | 40.4%251 W · 370 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Colgate Raiders | 27c | 140$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.8 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Colgate Raiders | 26c | 121$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.46 | 939 | 41.6%391 W · 548 L | +25.4wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…0876backed Navy Midshipmen | 74c | 120.19$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.25 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd046…c496backed Colgate Raiders | 28c | 105.92$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.79 | 100 | 34%34 W · 66 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Colgate Raiders | 19c | 101.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Colgate Raiders | 28c | 99.49$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.86 | 1,317 | 33.6%443 W · 874 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Colgate Raiders | 30c | 99.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.78 | 167 | 21%35 W · 132 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Navy Midshipmen | 79c | 87.84$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.17 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Colgate Raiders | 30c | 86.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.85 | 815 | 28.8%235 W · 580 L | -19.9wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Navy Midshipmen | 78c | 50.08$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Navy Midshipmen | 71c | 45$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 430 | 53.3%229 W · 201 L | -12.1wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Navy Midshipmen | 73c | 40.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.02 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4336…28a7backed Navy Midshipmen | 73c | 35.39$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.61 | 134 | 64.2%86 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed Navy Midshipmen | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +10.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Navy Midshipmen | 77c | 15.49$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.56 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Navy Midshipmen | 78c | 13.94$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.12 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Colgate Raiders vs. Navy Midshipmenthis page
- Spread: Navy Midshipmen (-6.5)Navy Midshipmen won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.