Other European Leagues · resolved market
Spread: PSV (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e4b94c71f6b5c218e83773cde4c920c7b7810577e0078560d0e14c9c6074d8e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PSVof PSV, Heracles Almelo
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,094
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Heracles Almelo | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2053…1eedbacked PSV | 56c | 1,794$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.48 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed PSV | 54c | 1,387$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.81 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Heracles Almelo | 44c | 1,020$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452.83 | 435 | 46.7%203 W · 232 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked PSV | 53c | 620.48$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.62 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Heracles Almelo | 44c | 457.93$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.72 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Heracles Almelo | 39c | 296.57$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.99 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed PSV | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked PSV | 55c | 189.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.58 | 119 | 23.5%28 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.07per pick | 31cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked PSV | 53c | 167.86$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.89 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Heracles Almelo | 46c | 135.56$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.86 | 546 | 50.4%275 W · 271 L | +15.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63c5…1ecbbacked PSV | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 187 | 49.7%93 W · 94 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Heracles Almelo | 47c | 126$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.22 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Heracles Almelo | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Heracles Almelo | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Heracles Almelo | 44c | 125$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 1,711 | 48.3%827 W · 884 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed PSV | 75c | 96$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed PSV | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.3 | 101 | 56.4%57 W · 44 L | +4.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed PSV | 55c | 70$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 88 | 51.1%45 W · 43 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Heracles Almelo | 44c | 63.05$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.88 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed PSV | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 85 | 57.6%49 W · 36 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed PSV | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed PSV | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 91 | 60.4%55 W · 36 L | +7.4wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked PSV | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 99 | 59.6%59 W · 40 L | +7.1wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked PSV | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +5.2wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed PSV | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 93 | 59.1%55 W · 38 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed PSV | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 68 | 57.4%39 W · 29 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Heracles Almelo | 45c | 51.2$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 423 | 47.8%202 W · 221 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed PSV | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 98 | 61.2%60 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Heracles Almelo | 24c | 47.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.64 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa0…be2dbacked PSV | 53c | 38.79$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed PSV | 54c | 37.77$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 23 | 69.6%16 W · 7 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed PSV | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed PSV | 53c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 46 | 69.6%32 W · 14 L | +5.7wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked PSV | 53c | 20.87$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.81 | 91 | 59.3%54 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked PSV | 54c | 19.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.11 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | -4.9wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: PSV (-1.5)this page
- Heracles Almelo vs. PSV: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Heracles Almelo vs. PSV: O/U 1.5Over won
- Heracles Almelo vs. PSV: O/U 2.5Over won
- Heracles Almelo vs. PSV: O/U 3.5Over won
- Heracles Almelo vs. PSV: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Heracles Almelo (-1.5)PSV won
- Spread: PSV (-2.5)Heracles Almelo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.