Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ourense: Rina Saigo vs Daria Khomutsianskaya
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e56cb1e9ebb80d2849dd8bd294c5915d3026af0d2339c56918794a9b29a48c2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rina Saigoof Rina Saigo, Daria Khomutsianskaya
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,459
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,488
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,459 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb2e2…4e99backed Rina Saigo | 40c | 1,200$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$720 | 331 | 37.2%123 W · 208 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 14c | 999.02$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.46 | 1,071 | 36.8%394 W · 677 L | -19.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6bae…e6c5backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 16c | 713$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 178 | 18%32 W · 146 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 47c | 372.24$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.28 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 16c | 257.76$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13f7…85d5backed Daria Khomutsianskaya | 8c | 212.9$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.58 | 1,314 | 39%512 W · 802 L | -23.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Rina Saigo | 39c | 194.86$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.71 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cdd…db30backed Rina Saigo | 36c | 133.22$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.26 | 194 | 24.2%47 W · 147 L | -6.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Rina Saigo | 51c | 88.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.55 | 3,457 | 38.9%1,345 W · 2,112 L | -15.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Rina Saigo | 55c | 81.82$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.82 | 3,262 | 40.3%1,314 W · 1,948 L | +22.6wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 31c | 77.47$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 6,574 | 46.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L | -45.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…b627backed Rina Saigo | 68c | 70.85$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 1,289 | 65.2%841 W · 448 L | +11.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Rina Saigo | 51c | 63.47$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.95 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc02…ce2abacked Rina Saigo | 68c | 53.87$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.2 | 228 | 72.4%165 W · 63 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 74cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 35c | 41.19$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 1,878 | 53.2%1,000 W · 878 L | +30.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Rina Saigo | 75c | 37.27$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Daria Khomutsianskaya | 60c | 35.93$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.56 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Rina Saigo | 52c | 34.75$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.55 | 363 | 39.4%143 W · 220 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73e5…e3d8backed Rina Saigo | 77c | 25.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.97 | 335 | 50.7%170 W · 165 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04fc…eba1backed Rina Saigo | 68c | 22.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 124 | 67.7%84 W · 40 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Rina Saigo | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 580 | 45.5%264 W · 316 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.