CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Tricksters vs TheBoys - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e57cdfd3a3982aea32d95755344d7da17dbc87a968e74ec2344e875b9d0446f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trickstersof Tricksters, TheBoys
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,364
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked TheBoys | 43c | 2,000$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$860.76 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked Tricksters | 53c | 1,199$639 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560.01 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2526…218ebacked Tricksters | 65c | 1,001$650 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.72 | 49 | 73.5%36 W · 13 L | +6.0wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bf1…294fbacked Tricksters | 50c | 604.1$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.2 | 136 | 42.6%58 W · 78 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d15…a2d0backed Tricksters | 65c | 572.06$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.04 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +6.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked TheBoys | 37c | 496$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.84 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked TheBoys | 38c | 441.53$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.92 | 630 | 38.6%243 W · 387 L | -26.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…3ff8backed Tricksters | 57c | 400$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 136 | 49.3%67 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4419…fcf4backed Tricksters | 61c | 321.99$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.58 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +5.6wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked TheBoys | 36c | 321.2$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.93 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b26…8c32backed TheBoys | 55c | 302.24$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | +7.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed TheBoys | 37c | 300.02$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.48 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed Tricksters | 67c | 290.89$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 211 | 59.7%126 W · 85 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed Tricksters | 58c | 250.67$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.28 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked Tricksters | 65c | 242.45$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed Tricksters | 65c | 214.22$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed TheBoys | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1d…dfaabacked Tricksters | 71c | 168.79$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 74 | 59.5%44 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked TheBoys | 38c | 162.97$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed TheBoys | 44c | 151$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.84 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e19…d2b0backed TheBoys | 41c | 149.6$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.59 | 527 | 50.7%267 W · 260 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked TheBoys | 36c | 130.05$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked TheBoys | 41c | 101$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TheBoys | 23c | 98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.52 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed Tricksters | 44c | 97.68$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.78 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72a3…1753backed Tricksters | 61c | 84$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked TheBoys | 31c | 69.14$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.57 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TheBoys | 25c | 63$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.81 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x401d…23c6backed Tricksters | 49c | 55.82$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.32 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba46…6ac5backed TheBoys | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 73 | 74%54 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TheBoys | 26c | 43.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.18 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x788e…e086backed Tricksters | 69c | 36.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.36 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Tricksters | 58c | 31.79$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.49 | 700 | 42.3%296 W · 404 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x637b…948bbacked Tricksters | 46c | 24.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 73 | 64.4%47 W · 26 L | +9.8wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Tricksters vs TheBoys - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Tricksters vs TheBoys (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #6 PlayoffsTricksters won
- Counter-Strike: Tricksters vs TheBoys - Map 1 WinnerTheBoys won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.