Cricket · resolved market
Shpageeza Cricket League: Speen Ghar Tigers vs Band-e-Amir Dragons
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3e8dd3a5b452f921798087e9bde0f170bac1cec28bead8adc74858b4e7c132f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Speen Ghar Tigersof Speen Ghar Tigers, Band-e-Amir Dragons
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,912
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,912 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Speen Ghar Tigers | 72c | 2,206$1,599 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$606.99 | 438 | 40.9%179 W · 259 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ef…eeaabacked Speen Ghar Tigers | 78c | 1,777$1,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.88 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | +6.7wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Band-e-Amir Dragons | 5c | 648.65$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 679 | 31.4%213 W · 466 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Band-e-Amir Dragons | 19c | 412.52$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.5 | 94 | 29.8%28 W · 66 L | -7.2wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Band-e-Amir Dragons | 49c | 407.65$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.27 | 641 | 43.1%276 W · 365 L | -10.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa042…cba4backed Band-e-Amir Dragons | 20c | 362$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.4 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e12…d0ecbacked Band-e-Amir Dragons | 14c | 299.67$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 134 | 18.7%25 W · 109 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +106.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…ae4dbacked Band-e-Amir Dragons | 6c | 256.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.01 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Band-e-Amir Dragons | 27c | 226.8$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.54 | 569 | 37.1%211 W · 358 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Band-e-Amir Dragons | 44c | 219.15$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 423 | 44.2%187 W · 236 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Band-e-Amir Dragons | 18c | 191.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 636 | 46.4%295 W · 341 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14f3…0796backed Band-e-Amir Dragons | 17c | 124.33$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 122 | 50.8%62 W · 60 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Band-e-Amir Dragons | 28c | 120.33$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 419 | 47.5%199 W · 220 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Band-e-Amir Dragons | 44c | 117.28$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.56 | 654 | 51.1%334 W · 320 L | +26.9wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Speen Ghar Tigers | 68c | 112.44$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.83 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Speen Ghar Tigers | 73c | 102$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 78 | 42.3%33 W · 45 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Band-e-Amir Dragons | 43c | 72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.12 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x349e…867bbacked Band-e-Amir Dragons | 18c | 62.85$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.25 | 78 | 56.4%44 W · 34 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf66e…14b7backed Band-e-Amir Dragons | 18c | 59$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.83 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9663…5b70backed Band-e-Amir Dragons | 48c | 51$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 378 | 48.1%182 W · 196 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e3…56cfbacked Band-e-Amir Dragons | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 47 | 36.2%17 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x80c6…6660backed Speen Ghar Tigers | 74c | 32$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.23 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -4.8wins | -0.23per pick | 42cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Band-e-Amir Dragons | 42c | 28.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.21 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -10.0wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Speen Ghar Tigers | 66c | 28.83$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 34 | 55.9%19 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.