South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ea989b34fb777630f868641afcd4212d9d96d0a752634cb38a7983bd588420a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,607
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,230
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,607 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 27c | 5,922$1,628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.89 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 31c | 3,991$1,229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,761.25 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 27c | 3,725$990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,734.73 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Yes | 75c | 2,228$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677.16 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 69c | 2,171$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.48 | 5,762 | 45.4%2,614 W · 3,148 L | +94.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Yes | 75c | 1,094$821 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820.75 | 228 | 53.1%121 W · 107 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Yes | 71c | 819.07$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$577.5 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Yes | 70c | 817.91$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.84 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Yes | 70c | 813.38$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$572.4 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked Yes | 71c | 802.24$572 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$571.58 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 76c | 744.06$565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$565.48 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked No | 61c | 706.41$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$275.57 | 110 | 59.1%65 W · 45 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Yes | 74c | 669.5$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495.44 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed Yes | 75c | 634.16$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.29 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 61c | 613.47$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.6 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 41c | 599.99$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246 | 1,355 | 49.7%674 W · 681 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2,335 | 51.5%1,202 W · 1,133 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 40c | 499.97$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.99 | 1,655 | 50.6%838 W · 817 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 60c | 468.48$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.39 | 429 | 62.2%267 W · 162 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f9…87b0backed Yes | 38c | 314.49$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.5 | 183 | 52.5%96 W · 87 L | +10.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Yes | 39c | 247.03$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.34 | 317 | 45.1%143 W · 174 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 76c | 224.13$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.25 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9a2…a79abacked Yes | 46c | 208.2$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.77 | 44 | 20.5%9 W · 35 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 18c | 206.08$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.81 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 57c | 182.9$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 1,670 | 51.8%865 W · 805 L | +19.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 43c | 168.45$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.44 | 191 | 44.5%85 W · 106 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 15c | 155.13$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.76 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e29…cfbfbacked Yes | 70c | 130.93$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.65 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 41c | 107.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.54 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 19c | 104.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 3,755 | 38.2%1,435 W · 2,320 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15ee…512dbacked Yes | 38c | 101.09$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.42 | 242 | 53.3%129 W · 113 L | +8.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Yes | 70c | 99.95$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.97 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -4.8wins | -0.32per pick | 59cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 54c | 97.24$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.73 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14c3…0262backed Yes | 16c | 89.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 23cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7236…ea53backed No | 62c | 87.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.22 | 248 | 55.2%137 W · 111 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84bb…25d3backed Yes | 38c | 86.24$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 62c | 79$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.02 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked No | 60c | 68.79$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.52 | 332 | 66.3%220 W · 112 L | +24.8wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed Yes | 75c | 65.67$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.25 | 68 | 42.6%29 W · 39 L | -7.1wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…582ebacked No | 30c | 60.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.95 | 200 | 59.5%119 W · 81 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 60c | 59.12$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.82 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabd5…e713backed Yes | 72c | 54.59$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.31 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1e…522fbacked Yes | 38c | 52.9$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.28per pick | 53cpaid | -62.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf512…5198backed Yes | 75c | 52.08$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.17 | 118 | 63.6%75 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 61c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.5 | 2,614 | 54.2%1,416 W · 1,198 L | +25.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d5…f2c6backed No | 54c | 44.73$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.58 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 29c | 44.36$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33eb…b07ebacked Yes | 74c | 39.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.53 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -5.2wins | -0.12per pick | 63cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 75c | 35.27$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed Yes | 75c | 32.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.63 | 115 | 53%61 W · 54 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 40c | 31.33$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4880…5626backed Yes | 75c | 31.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ffe…9150backed Yes | 74c | 30.42$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 71 | 62%44 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes | 45c | 29.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 164 | 53.7%88 W · 76 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9744…cab4backed Yes | 75c | 28.49$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.36 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 61c | 27.75$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.82 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6479…7558backed No | 54c | 22.1$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.16 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaedd…ad5bbacked No | 60c | 21.86$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 286 | 65%186 W · 100 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 93 | 63.4%59 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Platense win on 2026-04-12?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-04-12?No won
- Will CA Platense vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.