Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3ed0b10680a35850d275ad8de2cde016f7fbfcb4ca8d539744357abddfba92c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,529
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,529 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 78c | 2,098$1,643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.64 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c67…a813backed Under | 77c | 1,764$1,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.65 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 23c | 1,203$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.75 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd299…b988backed Over | 25c | 580$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Over | 23c | 475$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.25 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +15%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b3d…b77fbacked Over | 25c | 381$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc51c…ebc6backed Under | 75c | 264$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Over | 23c | 242$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.66 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb528…00c0backed Under | 75c | 239$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 56cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc388…acf5backed Under | 75c | 238$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0c…217cbacked Under | 75c | 210$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 69cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…7ffdbacked Under | 75c | 186$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +113.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…10febacked Under | 75c | 170$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 71cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f65…3924backed Under | 75c | 158$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf60…79c5backed Over | 29c | 146.35$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882b…ddb8backed Over | 25c | 146$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe240…eff5backed Over | 25c | 125$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ee1…a751backed Over | 25c | 124$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec2…5a6dbacked Over | 25c | 108$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Under | 71c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.4 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Under | 71c | 35.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -5.4wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xe9ea…810abacked Under | 71c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.25 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.18per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9adf…3f2fbacked Under | 71c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.20per pick | 58cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked Under | 75c | 19.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.9wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Okhdood SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.