Asian League · resolved market
Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1e01864158cfc4715bae2d4a0b0fcf8c0312591205005bffa11a4b17e6592f2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,499
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,499 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 27 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 58c | 779.37$453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.25 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Over | 44c | 699.46$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.16 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddb…e7cebacked Over | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 72c | 483.15$348 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.28 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd5…e8adbacked Under | 57c | 328$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 32c | 317.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.83 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf20c…d5b8backed Under | 57c | 305$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.15 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…dd21backed Under | 57c | 292$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.56 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe208…745dbacked Under | 57c | 283$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4588…4a56backed Over | 43c | 203$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e03…bf97backed Over | 43c | 193$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca4d…2f9abacked Over | 43c | 190$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4454…cc2ebacked Over | 43c | 178$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11b1…9787backed Over | 43c | 163$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd94d…73c9backed Over | 43c | 148$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c8f…f98abacked Over | 43c | 133$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 95 | 25.3%24 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 32c | 94.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.19 | 693 | 52.2%362 W · 331 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Under | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 41c | 57$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.37 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8a…8775backed Under | 58c | 55.17$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf715…bbf0backed Over | 42c | 55.17$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.17 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 46c | 46.43$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.52 | 307 | 50.8%156 W · 151 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 58c | 38.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.32 | 184 | 46.2%85 W · 99 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed Under | 62c | 29.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 194 | 36.6%71 W · 123 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8882…c67dbacked Under | 52c | 24.75$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…049fbacked Under | 63c | 16.39$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)Al Okhdood SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.