Asian League · resolved market
Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc314e9c43b1fce4a8655950649557406979c3320bfebeb731ac1216b2a6536f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Al Okhdood SCof Al Shabab Saudi Club, Al Okhdood SC
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,378 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad2e…f02cbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club | 28c | 403$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf189…d1e5backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e49…7641backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 28c | 400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0393…0769backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 28c | 385$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Al Okhdood SC | 67c | 320.77$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.84 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 33c | 284.49$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.79 | 57 | 31.6%18 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1544…8bacbacked Al Shabab Saudi Club | 28c | 275$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d15…9bbcbacked Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 270$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 61cpaid | +71.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…9eb3backed Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 263$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.64 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 74cpaid | +36.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd542…1b20backed Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 237$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 59cpaid | +80.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…1a6dbacked Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 233$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…0730backed Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 229$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f44…8d51backed Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 175$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7db3…67dcbacked Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 154$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.12 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 69cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c4…0addbacked Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 152$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.56 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 49cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe47f…cf1abacked Al Okhdood SC | 72c | 150$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 31c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.62 | 1,970 | 54.4%1,071 W · 899 L | +32.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Al Shabab Saudi Club | 32c | 37.81$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 214 | 49.1%105 W · 109 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Al Okhdood SC | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Al Okhdood SC | 69c | 24.79$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 225 | 55.1%124 W · 101 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-2.5)this page
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Al Shabab Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Al Shabab Saudi Club (-1.5)Al Shabab Saudi Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.