Premier League · resolved market
Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3eeb73ba3110fc61838f90dad32b7529f6017dbda50e6edf4a74f1e2ba951dcc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,485
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,927
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,485 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 6,291$2,377 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,376.87 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75dd…171dbacked Over | 76c | 2,021$1,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.08 | 48 | 81.3%39 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 76cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 77c | 1,301$997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.27 | 129 | 68.2%88 W · 41 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 25c | 819.16$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.43 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 50c | 793.96$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$396.98 | 95 | 50.5%48 W · 47 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 77c | 779.22$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.22 | 321 | 64.5%207 W · 114 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 67cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdba1…a62bbacked Over | 33c | 720$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.4 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.33per pick | 42cpaid | +102.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 50c | 640$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Over | 58c | 532.63$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.48 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3592…c81abacked Over | 44c | 498.04$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.9 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…2f9ebacked Under | 3c | 425.23$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | -5.2wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 399 | 48.4%193 W · 206 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x88ea…f0d2backed Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 31 | 25.8%8 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 52c | 288.46$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.46 | 66 | 66.7%44 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 38c | 265.32$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.82 | 1,934 | 42.4%820 W · 1,114 L | -43.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c49…ca9dbacked Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 28 | 39.3%11 W · 17 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 53c | 152.3$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.78 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 171 | 61.4%105 W · 66 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1c…b4f1backed Over | 50c | 140$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…d72dbacked Over | 31c | 129.03$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 26 | 69.2%18 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…3e3dbacked Under | 46c | 106.39$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.79 | 104 | 33.7%35 W · 69 L | -4.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb85e…e18dbacked Over | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 60 | 36.7%22 W · 38 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 62c | 80.59$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Under | 15c | 70.09$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 721 | 42.7%308 W · 413 L | +15.2wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 52c | 62.69$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.79 | 203 | 36.9%75 W · 128 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa55f…ce65backed Under | 53c | 57.02$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.39 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeb29…ea29backed Under | 50c | 49.22$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.61 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad1…c06dbacked Over | 31c | 48.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0068…1b85backed Over | 57c | 34.91$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.91 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7de…4d6dbacked Over | 75c | 31.14$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 41 | 75.6%31 W · 10 L | +6.4wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x53e8…c577backed Over | 76c | 27.63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 16 | 87.5%14 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.14per pick | 74cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x50f4…b728backed Over | 63c | 26.03$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.58 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 59c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.25 | 78 | 50%39 W · 39 L | -4.6wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4215…f03abacked Over | 64c | 17.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 198 | 53%105 W · 93 L | +12.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.06per pick | 59cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 2.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Portsmouth FC vs. Southampton FC: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.