Tennis · resolved market
ITF Takasaki: Sohyun Park vs Lizette Cabrera
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f443824d71ae480f508bcae382817edc9e8012e60b91a0e6ad40ae2cfd46a42
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sohyun Parkof Sohyun Park, Lizette Cabrera
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,614
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,614 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sohyun Park | 58c | 729.35$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.66 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Lizette Cabrera | 45c | 609.65$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.11 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Lizette Cabrera | 11c | 379.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Lizette Cabrera | 44c | 310.64$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.1 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Lizette Cabrera | 43c | 296.35$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.64 | 637 | 46%293 W · 344 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Sohyun Park | 51c | 291$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.69 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lizette Cabrera | 12c | 227.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.23 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Sohyun Park | 37c | 222.02$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.83 | 278 | 36.3%101 W · 177 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Sohyun Park | 46c | 199.98$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.2 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Lizette Cabrera | 49c | 149.94$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.92 | 47 | 27.7%13 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sohyun Park | 64c | 143.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Lizette Cabrera | 47c | 139.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.81 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x729a…1e51backed Sohyun Park | 54c | 135.19$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.09 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Lizette Cabrera | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Lizette Cabrera | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Sohyun Park | 56c | 88.56$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.12 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd13c…98a7backed Lizette Cabrera | 31c | 81.87$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.25 | 172 | 42.4%73 W · 99 L | -17.5wins | -0.10per pick | 53cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x175e…8e46backed Lizette Cabrera | 66c | 75.77$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 103 | 63.1%65 W · 38 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6407…d360backed Lizette Cabrera | 42c | 72.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.32 | 971 | 41.4%402 W · 569 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Lizette Cabrera | 43c | 70$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Sohyun Park | 71c | 59.98$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.49 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab92…19e5backed Sohyun Park | 53c | 53.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Sohyun Park | 46c | 46.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.85 | 168 | 44.6%75 W · 93 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x059d…10e3backed Sohyun Park | 37c | 40.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.54 | 160 | 50.6%81 W · 79 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Lizette Cabrera | 31c | 38.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…c2f9backed Sohyun Park | 58c | 34.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 128 | 36.7%47 W · 81 L | -8.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Sohyun Park | 76c | 34.27$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.26 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce5…a07fbacked Sohyun Park | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lizette Cabrera | 43c | 32.47$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.96 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43cf…d143backed Lizette Cabrera | 44c | 29.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.79 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Sohyun Park | 59c | 24.71$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.13 | 423 | 50.8%215 W · 208 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Sohyun Park | 57c | 23.39$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Sohyun Park | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lizette Cabrera | 51c | 19.74$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…7a71backed Sohyun Park | 56c | 19.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 1,125 | 51.1%575 W · 550 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…e4a2backed Sohyun Park | 71c | 15.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.57 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89ab…a196backed Sohyun Park | 68c | 14.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.69 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.