Tennis · resolved market
Internazionali BNL d'Italia (Doubles): Andreeva/Shnaider vs Danilina/Muhammad
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f54e07696c219bc1d8b7469ebef15241079f7cd866e1b4142fe4e7e85e4bbec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andreeva/Shnaiderof Andreeva/Shnaider, Danilina/Muhammad
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,578
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,578 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd10c…0645backed Andreeva/Shnaider | 52c | 6,389$3,325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,064.13 | 65 | 23.1%15 W · 50 L | -9.4wins | -0.15per pick | 38cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Danilina/Muhammad | 41c | 2,770$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.65 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Danilina/Muhammad | 56c | 1,172$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.53 | 492 | 52.4%258 W · 234 L | +28.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa7c0…dadabacked Danilina/Muhammad | 46c | 1,159$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.56 | 546 | 34.4%188 W · 358 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Danilina/Muhammad | 70c | 740.52$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.41 | 191 | 41.9%80 W · 111 L | -13.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Danilina/Muhammad | 52c | 437.09$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.44 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Danilina/Muhammad | 49c | 425.38$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.31 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf37…993fbacked Danilina/Muhammad | 61c | 214.38$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.47 | 295 | 33.6%99 W · 196 L | -8.7wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42f3…5d8ebacked Danilina/Muhammad | 70c | 181.61$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.13 | 83 | 66.3%55 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8165…59d0backed Andreeva/Shnaider | 40c | 160.71$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.71 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…eb15backed Danilina/Muhammad | 54c | 124.02$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 64 | 37.5%24 W · 40 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Andreeva/Shnaider | 56c | 100$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ec…1cc8backed Danilina/Muhammad | 45c | 86.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.81 | 323 | 33.4%108 W · 215 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeda6…84c5backed Andreeva/Shnaider | 44c | 75.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.99 | 81 | 51.9%42 W · 39 L | +6.8wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +124.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3e5c…c29bbacked Danilina/Muhammad | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 51.4%54 W · 51 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Andreeva/Shnaider | 39c | 58.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.97 | 1,142 | 47.3%540 W · 602 L | +65.6wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e39…fe16backed Danilina/Muhammad | 44c | 52.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 710 | 21.3%151 W · 559 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x510e…b8e0backed Andreeva/Shnaider | 44c | 51.9$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.1 | 62 | 46.8%29 W · 33 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x836f…e56cbacked Andreeva/Shnaider | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Andreeva/Shnaider | 45c | 37.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.53 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8428…d49abacked Andreeva/Shnaider | 42c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 106 | 37.7%40 W · 66 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0328…f8ddbacked Andreeva/Shnaider | 61c | 33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.87 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 45cpaid | +65.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Andreeva/Shnaider | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.7 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49c5…3de7backed Andreeva/Shnaider | 39c | 29.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 208 | 57.2%119 W · 89 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87a4…953ebacked Danilina/Muhammad | 70c | 27.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,056 | 55.4%585 W · 471 L | -22.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Andreeva/Shnaider | 44c | 26.89$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xe18d…9c5bbacked Danilina/Muhammad | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.18per pick | 60cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe131…7594backed Danilina/Muhammad | 61c | 19.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.1 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7089…7351backed Danilina/Muhammad | 80c | 18.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9abb…3f96backed Andreeva/Shnaider | 63c | 16$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 278 | 71.6%199 W · 79 L | +12.5wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4781…336dbacked Danilina/Muhammad | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 264 | 62.1%164 W · 100 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.