Tennis · resolved market
ITF Ourense: Yasmine Kabbaj vs Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f78ba3c25e5ea85b67909f1429b0d6da65e4b47b3de7582bd2e7979a477a128
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sonja Zhiyenbayevaof Yasmine Kabbaj, Sonja Zhiyenbayeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,594
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,847
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,594 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 57c | 4,641$2,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,006.79 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 40c | 3,795$1,529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,528.87 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 25c | 391.42$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.82 | 1,042 | 36.5%380 W · 662 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3d…4d49backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 7c | 347.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.34 | 255 | 46.7%119 W · 136 L | -11.8wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 7c | 197.04$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 39c | 179.49$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 28c | 124.33$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.19 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 16c | 87.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 43c | 82.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.56 | 1,880 | 48.5%912 W · 968 L | +8.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 20c | 71$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.2 | 350 | 39.4%138 W · 212 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 414 | 40.3%167 W · 247 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 22c | 60$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…9caebacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 35c | 57.14$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 445 | 27.2%121 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 57c | 50.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 1,226 | 52%637 W · 589 L | +44.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 80c | 49.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eeb…a72cbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 58c | 44.11$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 43c | 36.29$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Yasmine Kabbaj | 38c | 30.44$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.14 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 45c | 29.96$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.48 | 253 | 49%124 W · 129 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc810…adc1backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 69c | 23.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.4 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a60…7b81backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 70c | 23.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.87 | 183 | 56.3%103 W · 80 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4abd…5a5cbacked Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 65c | 22.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.95 | 391 | 59.1%231 W · 160 L | +28.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba0…0111backed Yasmine Kabbaj | 50c | 21.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +4.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sonja Zhiyenbayeva | 68c | 19.56$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.