Tennis · resolved market
Jiangxi Open: Dominika Salkova vs Aliona Falei
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f80785ba8048e44ce0fe674d25ef7f0344080fe05da9a5d0735b4813ae99acb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Salkovaof Salkova, Falei
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $74,691
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,051
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $74,691 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Falei | 13c | 24,774$3,179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,178.55 | 245 | 44.9%110 W · 135 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bd…2a37backed Salkova | 6c | 8,300$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,802 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.94per pick | 6cpaid | +1,566.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…e0cbbacked Falei | 7c | 5,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Falei | 22c | 3,183$716 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$715.93 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9c…ab80backed Falei | 25c | 2,745$696 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$696.12 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Falei | 5c | 1,330$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.7 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Falei | 32c | 1,069$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.58 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Salkova | 71c | 601.65$426 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.12 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…77d6backed Falei | 8c | 573.59$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc950…ad4ebacked Falei | 3c | 550$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -85%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Falei | 10c | 511.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 652 | 42.8%279 W · 373 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ada…43b0backed Falei | 25c | 475$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.25 | 238 | 52.1%124 W · 114 L | -5.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9354…6502backed Salkova | 68c | 413.39$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.75 | 755 | 47.8%361 W · 394 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc80…8634backed Falei | 8c | 367.14$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa225…b903backed Falei | 6c | 254.75$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x151f…807dbacked Falei | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -23%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa518…747cbacked Salkova | 60c | 166.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.39 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -40.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe944…0837backed Falei | 23c | 150.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Salkova | 63c | 150$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x33ea…cdbebacked Salkova | 65c | 140$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Falei | 35c | 110.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.85 | 58 | 31%18 W · 40 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Falei | 35c | 103.63$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.27 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Falei | 41c | 97.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30e1…2300backed Falei | 18c | 92.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 53cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x06da…3181backed Falei | 22c | 90.91$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Salkova | 65c | 73.94$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.88 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b9e…40a5backed Salkova | 80c | 59$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.86 | 52 | 75%39 W · 13 L | +7.1wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1b55…2eaebacked Salkova | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 66 | 75.8%50 W · 16 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5a6…6991backed Falei | 43c | 56.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.2 | 108 | 47.2%51 W · 57 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3412…3a3cbacked Salkova | 71c | 42.48$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.32 | 22 | 81.8%18 W · 4 L | +3.6wins | +0.16per pick | 65cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x65d4…4e71backed Salkova | 65c | 34.88$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 58 | 67.2%39 W · 19 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked Salkova | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde91…f20abacked Salkova | 61c | 25.62$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | -5.7wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc256…aba2backed Salkova | 65c | 23.08$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.08 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4607…7811backed Salkova | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab3b…a825backed Salkova | 62c | 19.99$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.6 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 63cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce49…c3b9backed Salkova | 63c | 19.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 20 | 85%17 W · 3 L | +6.5wins | +0.32per pick | 53cpaid | +63.8%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.