Tennis · resolved market
Liege: Felix Balshaw vs Philip Henning
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3f979ddd17ca3a4433d7d959ba37c820c469822f7f41521d92c663344ed2c91e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felix Balshawof Felix Balshaw, Philip Henning
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,333
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,580
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,333 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Felix Balshaw | 75c | 1,908$1,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$476.33 | 4,341 | 52.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L | +63.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Philip Henning | 30c | 1,459$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.16 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Philip Henning | 8c | 584.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb4b…9f92backed Felix Balshaw | 69c | 499.98$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.99 | 254 | 48.8%124 W · 130 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Philip Henning | 9c | 452.21$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.94 | 9,038 | 36.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L | -196.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philip Henning | 12c | 393.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.49 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d0…a1c5backed Philip Henning | 31c | 370.97$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 1,579 | 39.8%629 W · 950 L | -34.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Philip Henning | 9c | 368.63$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.72 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x540e…263dbacked Philip Henning | 9c | 284.67$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.62 | 99 | 24.2%24 W · 75 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed Philip Henning | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 178 | 10.7%19 W · 159 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Philip Henning | 29c | 180.34$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.3 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Philip Henning | 30c | 129.03$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.71 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Felix Balshaw | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 486 | 37.7%183 W · 303 L | -12.0wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Philip Henning | 31c | 86.66$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.87 | 678 | 52.1%353 W · 325 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf753…bcfebacked Philip Henning | 13c | 82.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 537 | 36.9%198 W · 339 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philip Henning | 30c | 76.5$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.95 | 3,319 | 48.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L | -52.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Philip Henning | 23c | 74$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.21 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x150c…add3backed Felix Balshaw | 70c | 71.43$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.43 | 206 | 70.4%145 W · 61 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3404…10d2backed Felix Balshaw | 70c | 70$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.35 | 482 | 45.6%220 W · 262 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Philip Henning | 31c | 65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.15 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Philip Henning | 18c | 55.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15cf…4d9bbacked Felix Balshaw | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 574 | 49.1%282 W · 292 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Philip Henning | 29c | 35$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.18 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Felix Balshaw | 69c | 29.23$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…7426backed Felix Balshaw | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 139 | 64.7%90 W · 49 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Felix Balshaw | 72c | 25$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Felix Balshaw | 74c | 24.32$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 2,087 | 54.1%1,130 W · 957 L | +64.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Felix Balshaw | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42a1…a8e9backed Felix Balshaw | 69c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 394 | 51.3%202 W · 192 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Felix Balshaw | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd85d…3f48backed Felix Balshaw | 69c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.58 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.