Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras: Matilde Jorge vs Alina Korneeva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fc34884cd4fdadc7c5e2d27c9c833d6f198bd3ae239a710edbce250e57a71b4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Korneevaof Jorge, Korneeva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,247
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,247 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4173…d3edbacked Jorge | 14c | 5,620$779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$778.57 | 556 | 46.4%258 W · 298 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Jorge | 15c | 4,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 231 | 26%60 W · 171 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Jorge | 6c | 977.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Jorge | 3c | 620.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.72 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Jorge | 14c | 558.33$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.78 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Jorge | 11c | 517.36$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.7 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Jorge | 5c | 509.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f88…ca51backed Jorge | 9c | 435.71$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 668 | 31.3%209 W · 459 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Jorge | 9c | 237.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.53 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Jorge | 15c | 232$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Jorge | 15c | 220$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.5 | 970 | 46.6%452 W · 518 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…fdecbacked Jorge | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 465 | 51.2%238 W · 227 L | -23.3wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…ffc4backed Jorge | 17c | 150$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Jorge | 17c | 118.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed Jorge | 17c | 117.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 114 | 28.9%33 W · 81 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39cb…09d6backed Jorge | 17c | 116.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Jorge | 15c | 99.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf4d…dfdbbacked Jorge | 16c | 94.69$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f9…86ecbacked Jorge | 14c | 89.53$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.88 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Jorge | 15c | 65.02$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Oeiras: Matilde Jorge vs Alina Korneevathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Jorge vs KorneevaKorneeva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.