Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Marquette vs. Xavier
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3fda8c36beb0cdec4c109c9330971163f2f81476ec230eeaaca8e434a00ecac3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marquetteof Marquette, Xavier
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,349
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,972
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,349 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Xavier | 44c | 4,572$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,995 | 415 | 54.2%225 W · 190 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Marquette | 56c | 3,781$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,664.93 | 530 | 57.4%304 W · 226 L | +33.1wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ac9…9678backed Marquette | 48c | 2,848$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,468.04 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa47a…fd11backed Xavier | 52c | 2,716$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.63 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfcb0…c865backed Marquette | 59c | 1,278$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.96 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a5…f9babacked Xavier | 44c | 1,252$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$549.96 | 81 | 43.2%35 W · 46 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Xavier | 41c | 1,128$462 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$462.48 | 429 | 48.5%208 W · 221 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Marquette | 57c | 1,035$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$445.58 | 188 | 50%94 W · 94 L | +11.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Marquette | 61c | 500$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.88 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8da3…8a67backed Marquette | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Xavier | 39c | 273$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.47 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Xavier | 54c | 242.61$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.87 | 556 | 57.4%319 W · 237 L | +20.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37b…3802backed Marquette | 62c | 209.53$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.62 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +60.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a3f…3aa3backed Marquette | 49c | 102.71$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.38 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Marquette | 58c | 66.17$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.79 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Xavier | 42c | 63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 168 | 42.3%71 W · 97 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Xavier | 43c | 57.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 96 | 58.3%56 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeac7…fec6backed Xavier | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 48 | 56.3%27 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -10%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd13…a813backed Xavier | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x934f…5bd8backed Xavier | 43c | 42.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5825…4ffbbacked Xavier | 54c | 32.79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.71 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed Xavier | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.