CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x401dc1fbab05e5c9e344284a58b68379cf4d9050fb5bbe75425f06c8144e24b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Betclic Apogee Esportsof Liquid, Betclic Apogee Esports
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,464
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,130
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,464 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x82d2…beeabacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 36c | 1,668$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.05 | 1,020 | 52.2%532 W · 488 L | +26.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64f4…b38ebacked Liquid | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 146 | 48.6%71 W · 75 L | +9.2wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Liquid | 62c | 171.01$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.56 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe41c…afabbacked Liquid | 54c | 150$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 502 | 51%256 W · 246 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Liquid | 69c | 142.06$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.61 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x173e…9ff4backed Liquid | 54c | 100$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 111 | 37.8%42 W · 69 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 46c | 96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.84 | 932 | 61.7%575 W · 357 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 31c | 83.12$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.24 | 166 | 41%68 W · 98 L | -8.9wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3f58…d93abacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 22c | 82$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.86 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffca…0b64backed Liquid | 53c | 80.91$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.88 | 521 | 50.3%262 W · 259 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 27c | 75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.75 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa7…afb4backed Liquid | 76c | 65.26$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.55 | 194 | 54.1%105 W · 89 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Liquid | 75c | 42.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.2 | 1,377 | 66.4%914 W · 463 L | +77.0wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed Liquid | 55c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 562 | 39.5%222 W · 340 L | -21.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x282b…cc76backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 45c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 84 | 54.8%46 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 47c | 31.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.58 | 618 | 55%340 W · 278 L | +11.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x483d…a099backed Betclic Apogee Esports | 40c | 28.91$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.24 | 267 | 46.4%124 W · 143 L | -9.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b25…10aabacked Betclic Apogee Esports | 47c | 21.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.52 | 861 | 54.1%466 W · 395 L | +14.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f87…f04ebacked Liquid | 76c | 16.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 268 | 53.7%144 W · 124 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6202…c297backed Liquid | 71c | 15.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: TL (-1.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Liquid (BO3) - Stake Pulse Beat I PlayoffsBetclic Apogee Esports won
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Liquid - Map 1 WinnerLiquid won
- Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs Liquid - Map 2 WinnerBetclic Apogee Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+3.5)Betclic Apogee Esports won
- Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Liquid (-3.5) vs Betclic Apogee Esports (+3.5)Betclic Apogee Esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.