Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x402587182c60895daeb56608459d17869e4db46bd4ddf76d1d5b7b2cfe92af29
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- GIANTX iTeroof UCAM Esports Club, GIANTX iTero
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,911
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,689
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,911 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked UCAM Esports Club | 47c | 5,211$2,474 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,474.27 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked GIANTX iTero | 52c | 3,846$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,846.15 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed UCAM Esports Club | 46c | 1,248$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.11 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab6…078ebacked GIANTX iTero | 53c | 568.45$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.89 | 342 | 50.6%173 W · 169 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked GIANTX iTero | 57c | 499.99$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked GIANTX iTero | 52c | 361.54$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$173.54 | 592 | 48.3%286 W · 306 L | +15.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6018…ac09backed UCAM Esports Club | 43c | 360.93$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4fbf…4605backed GIANTX iTero | 55c | 350.04$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.04 | 260 | 42.3%110 W · 150 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed GIANTX iTero | 56c | 280$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.75 | 608 | 49.5%301 W · 307 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed GIANTX iTero | 52c | 247.65$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 498 | 47.2%235 W · 263 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17cb…edaabacked GIANTX iTero | 52c | 200$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d0…d9e8backed UCAM Esports Club | 45c | 180$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81 | 857 | 46.3%397 W · 460 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7787backed GIANTX iTero | 60c | 148$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.2 | 644 | 43%277 W · 367 L | -27.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed UCAM Esports Club | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 142$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 185 | 60.5%112 W · 73 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x109b…935fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 282 | 61%172 W · 110 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ed…b497backed GIANTX iTero | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 390 | 56.4%220 W · 170 L | +9.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00f7…4476backed GIANTX iTero | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d38…6f08backed GIANTX iTero | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 626 | 49.8%312 W · 314 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d9f…787abacked UCAM Esports Club | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 610 | 45.2%276 W · 334 L | +35.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +16%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked UCAM Esports Club | 41c | 49$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…6f57backed GIANTX iTero | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 139 | 61.2%85 W · 54 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0642…8c68backed UCAM Esports Club | 50c | 21.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 137 | 59.9%82 W · 55 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: UCAM (-1.5) vs GIANTX iTero (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Over won
- LoL: GIANTX iTero vs UCAM Esports Club (BO3) - LES Regular SeasonUCAM Esports Club won
- LoL: GIANTX iTero vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 1 WinnerGIANTX iTero won
- LoL: GIANTX iTero vs UCAM Esports Club - Game 2 WinnerUCAM Esports Club won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.