Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Randers FC win on 2026-05-03?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x408e133f0cf56278d5debda6a5167096dc0e336cc289ed1d2e5aefa97cbaa230
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,773
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,674
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,773 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked No | 28c | 327.06$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.49 | 123 | 19.5%24 W · 99 L | -9.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 71c | 281$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.49 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 35c | 279.87$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.91 | 306 | 46.7%143 W · 163 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a0…e45ebacked Yes | 35c | 265.18$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.18 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed No | 56c | 253.6$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.07 | 1,282 | 50.2%644 W · 638 L | -25.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 38c | 181.9$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.43 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9646…3bc4backed Yes | 61c | 147.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.54 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 73c | 135.53$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.83 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 33c | 126.46$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -4.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4155…fa41backed Yes | 68c | 119$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.33 | 75 | 77.3%58 W · 17 L | +12.7wins | +0.17per pick | 60cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae6…269dbacked Yes | 59c | 117.37$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 65c | 108.19$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.02 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 62c | 107.27$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.79 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa923…6704backed No | 38c | 106.25$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 273 | 52.7%144 W · 129 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04ec…8ac9backed No | 37c | 103.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.48 | 124 | 37.9%47 W · 77 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Yes | 44c | 103$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.11 | 125 | 48%60 W · 65 L | -5.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Yes | 63c | 85.5$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.24 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 56c | 82.21$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.77 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…47e7backed No | 38c | 80$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.4 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.62 | 212 | 47.2%100 W · 112 L | -5.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 33c | 63$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 892 | 58.2%519 W · 373 L | +58.2wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed No | 30c | 60.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 210 | 36.7%77 W · 133 L | -7.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 69c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 673 | 48.1%324 W · 349 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 56c | 54.23$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.88 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 70c | 50.83$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 72c | 41.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 102 | 47.1%48 W · 54 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…c38cbacked No | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 99 | 41.4%41 W · 58 L | -9.0wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x89b9…118ebacked Yes | 65c | 39.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 52c | 36.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.27 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 45c | 34.97$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.59 | 323 | 50.2%162 W · 161 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x668d…e471backed No | 45c | 33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d1…5ba7backed Yes | 61c | 32.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.65 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 66c | 31.36$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.7 | 138 | 42.8%59 W · 79 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 64c | 31.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 50c | 27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.59 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | -5.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x468f…b04abacked Yes | 61c | 26$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.23per pick | 43cpaid | -67.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa299…ac77backed Yes | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Yes | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Randers FC win on 2026-05-03?this page
- Will Randers FC vs. Vejle BK end in a draw?No won
- Will Vejle BK win on 2026-05-03?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.