TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

North Alabama Lions vs. Jacksonville State Gamecocks

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
North Alabama Lionsof North Alabama Lions, Jacksonville State Gamecocks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$78,011
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$80,193

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,011 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1e3a…4033backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks80c64,000$51,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50,999.9911662.1%72 W · 44 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe90b…5da2backed North Alabama Lions25c28,977$7,244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,732.869142.8%296 W · 395 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked North Alabama Lions15c14,036$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,930.5790645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52b4…34a8backed North Alabama Lions15c9,920$1,488 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,43235452.3%185 W · 169 L+17.5wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed North Alabama Lions31c2,400$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,648.643,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed North Alabama Lions16c2,200$355 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,844.92,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks76c1,466$1,120 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,120.241,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6239…c24fbacked North Alabama Lions32c1,409$446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$963.0116341.7%68 W · 95 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed North Alabama Lions16c1,115$179 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$936.295,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked North Alabama Lions19c1,013$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$816.195,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed North Alabama Lions31c1,005$311 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$694.59641.7%40 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked North Alabama Lions29c939.03$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$667.881,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed North Alabama Lions27c873.26$238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$635.755657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks70c600.39$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.4412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfa5c…be69backed North Alabama Lions32c501$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.6816135.4%57 W · 104 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe54d…fdecbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks65c389.86$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25410447.1%49 W · 55 L-14.7wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-24.8%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked North Alabama Lions33c259$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.5352928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed North Alabama Lions16c122.03$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.53,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed North Alabama Lions16c115.52$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.8710037%37 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked North Alabama Lions20c102$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.65556.4%31 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-7.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x64c2…d0afbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks39c100$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-40.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54f…dce8backed North Alabama Lions15c100$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8564322.9%147 W · 496 L-17.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-27.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf102…1348backed North Alabama Lions31c65$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.8565825.7%169 W · 489 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d85…2560backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks67c60$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.218646.2%86 W · 100 L-5.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c82…05cfbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks68c60$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.613343.6%58 W · 75 L-5.4wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-4.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x079a…8fbabacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks66c59.99$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.591833.3%6 W · 12 L-3.2wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-35.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks69c50.88$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.061,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks68c46$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.284,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x19bc…7d78backed North Alabama Lions25c45.52$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.142147.6%10 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4537…e2b1backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks68c30$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.9wins-0.42per pick56cpaid-71.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xedb5…ce8ebacked Jacksonville State Gamecocks69c21.74$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154562.2%28 W · 17 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa3…7d17backed Jacksonville State Gamecocks70c21.43$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152864.3%18 W · 10 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick69cpaid-9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.