Lol · resolved market
League of Legends: Nongshim Esports Academy vs. DN Freecs Challengers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x414228383e57d1ce5fc5881acbca80f56bc44800a5aa207a34d8bf6aab465516
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- DN Freecsof Nongshim, DN Freecs
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $781
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $899
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $781 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 14 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked DN Freecs | 31c | 154.93$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107 | 132 | 43.9%58 W · 74 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5a…7618backed DN Freecs | 36c | 150$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.2 | 102 | 28.4%29 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Nongshim | 69c | 144.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60e6…9e8abacked Nongshim | 64c | 130$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.2 | 68 | 32.4%22 W · 46 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked DN Freecs | 33c | 90$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.2 | 1,356 | 51.1%693 W · 663 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…564cbacked DN Freecs | 37c | 81.39$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.39 | 363 | 31.1%113 W · 250 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe782…e7d9backed Nongshim | 66c | 77.5$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x48e3…c148backed DN Freecs | 25c | 66.67$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 93 | 37.6%35 W · 58 L | +12.5wins | +0.13per pick | 24cpaid | +92.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcfdb…7a75backed Nongshim | 75c | 66.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 153 | 70.6%108 W · 45 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…8a58backed Nongshim | 67c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.2 | 1,136 | 63.1%717 W · 419 L | +51.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Nongshim | 68c | 46.38$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.67 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked Nongshim | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1,155 | 68.1%786 W · 369 L | +35.1wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf158…cc32backed Nongshim | 60c | 27.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 40 | 47.5%19 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde53…e5bebacked Nongshim | 64c | 26.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 924 | 50.9%470 W · 454 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.