CS2 · resolved market
Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x41be55949001343fb0b5fde0114c75343d01897176b80d04041a9390bd9a4365
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Virtus.proof B8, Virtus.pro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,964
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,964 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked Virtus.pro | 63c | 6,750$4,254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,495.47 | 5,095 | 55.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L | +119.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed B8 | 37c | 5,815$2,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,151.53 | 647 | 48.4%313 W · 334 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed B8 | 37c | 1,144$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.64 | 1,041 | 53.1%553 W · 488 L | +63.4wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Virtus.pro | 64c | 806.42$516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.31 | 610 | 55.9%341 W · 269 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cec…d241backed B8 | 38c | 657.89$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 565.61$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.93 | 2,645 | 51.9%1,372 W · 1,273 L | +21.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed B8 | 37c | 272.4$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.79 | 541 | 48.6%263 W · 278 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed B8 | 36c | 186.85$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 195 | 43.6%85 W · 110 L | +6.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed B8 | 37c | 186.56$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.03 | 1,007 | 48.5%488 W · 519 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed B8 | 38c | 173.82$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.05 | 245 | 44.5%109 W · 136 L | -8.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed Virtus.pro | 62c | 160.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.55 | 2,030 | 53.7%1,091 W · 939 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99fe…b61cbacked B8 | 38c | 157.89$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 489 | 41.9%205 W · 284 L | -14.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked B8 | 38c | 130.37$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.54 | 503 | 49.3%248 W · 255 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked B8 | 38c | 130$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked B8 | 38c | 105.26$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,087 | 31.9%347 W · 740 L | -7.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed B8 | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 807 | 40.3%325 W · 482 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d61…eb8ebacked B8 | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.3 | 812 | 46.2%375 W · 437 L | -35.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd09f…521abacked B8 | 36c | 72.22$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked B8 | 40c | 63.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.26 | 1,790 | 59.2%1,060 W · 730 L | +106.1wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed B8 | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 687 | 49.6%341 W · 346 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb378…e4c0backed Virtus.pro | 67c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 383 | 12.8%49 W · 334 L | -12.7wins | -0.03per pick | 16cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8234…bfd0backed B8 | 33c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 96 | 54.2%52 W · 44 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Virtus.pro | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 220 | 37.3%82 W · 138 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfce8…2686backed Virtus.pro | 63c | 31.75$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.75 | 243 | 63%153 W · 90 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs Virtus.pro (+1.5)this page
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro (BO3) - RES Showdown Europe PlayoffsVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro - Map 1 WinnerVirtus.pro won
- Counter-Strike: B8 vs Virtus.pro - Map 2 WinnerB8 won
- Map 2 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5Under won
- Map 3 Rounds Handicap: B8 (-3.5) vs Virtus.pro (+3.5)Virtus.pro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.