CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4208f9133b55e124a3fb1ae47b672c5b996b93d4d7f9afa58912c6fd4f8cd9ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Imperialof largadosypelados, Imperial
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,643
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,568
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,643 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed largadosypelados | 20c | 8,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +12.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Imperial | 80c | 6,960$5,548 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,411.83 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42b…7ea9backed largadosypelados | 20c | 2,500$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 508 | 33.5%170 W · 338 L | +14.2wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed largadosypelados | 20c | 1,031$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.71 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe63d…0545backed largadosypelados | 21c | 234.18$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.34 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -4.0wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed largadosypelados | 12c | 209.01$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.7 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed largadosypelados | 18c | 205.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.93 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eee…e8b6backed Imperial | 80c | 168.56$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.71 | 123 | 59.3%73 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Imperial | 80c | 163.31$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.66 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed largadosypelados | 21c | 141.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.8 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3701…ba6dbacked largadosypelados | 21c | 135.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.44 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x276d…1cf4backed largadosypelados | 21c | 120.95$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.4 | 69 | 33.3%23 W · 46 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed largadosypelados | 18c | 109.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 1,076 | 37.6%405 W · 671 L | +34.0wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked largadosypelados | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 246 | 33.3%82 W · 164 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed largadosypelados | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 392 | 37.2%146 W · 246 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed largadosypelados | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 85 | 35.3%30 W · 55 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed largadosypelados | 21c | 84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed largadosypelados | 18c | 81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.87 | 608 | 48%292 W · 316 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d9…0092backed largadosypelados | 21c | 77.59$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 113 | 53.1%60 W · 53 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Imperial | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 611 | 54.7%334 W · 277 L | +11.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Imperial | 80c | 36.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.34 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…93ccbacked Imperial | 80c | 35$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial (BO3) - ESL Challenger League South America Cup 1 Playoffsthis page
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial - Map 1 WinnerImperial won
- Counter-Strike: largadosypelados vs Imperial - Map 2 WinnerImperial won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.