Other European Leagues · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x422c5048be7debc256ad2aa5d2841c8c5d0c7b5ed3583b0b5710ba9cf1cf4014
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,828
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,656
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,828 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 42c | 1,932$813 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$813.19 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 80c | 1,250$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c80…93b5backed Over | 54c | 900.37$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$414.17 | 149 | 45.6%68 W · 81 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 25c | 416.6$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 71c | 390.27$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.18 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 39c | 358.11$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.23 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Over | 55c | 176.91$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.61 | 133 | 62.4%83 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…b81dbacked Over | 58c | 168.07$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8a…2562backed Under | 31c | 154.61$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.93 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 54c | 145.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.1 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 55c | 125$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Under | 41c | 117.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.23 | 373 | 41.6%155 W · 218 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a53…074abacked Under | 20c | 116.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b7…93ebbacked Under | 20c | 116.62$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.32 | 67 | 59.7%40 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Under | 20c | 115.08$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 103 | 60.2%62 W · 41 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 61c | 113.29$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.18 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfce1…4f4cbacked Under | 20c | 113.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 69 | 58%40 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 61c | 97.66$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.09 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40c0…b6a2backed Under | 30c | 79.83$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.95 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 39c | 77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 63c | 71.52$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.63 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa0…b590backed Under | 41c | 70.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked Over | 61c | 64.04$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.98 | 318 | 60.4%192 W · 126 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Over | 55c | 61.61$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.96 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6e…03bbbacked Over | 61c | 48.03$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf38c…d9f2backed Over | 54c | 46.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.45 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed Under | 47c | 45.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.39 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 54c | 39.28$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 73 | 32.9%24 W · 49 L | -10.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb71…434dbacked Over | 80c | 34.8$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.96 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed Under | 39c | 33.35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.12 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Over | 59c | 33.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 60c | 32.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.04 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…66d7backed Over | 61c | 31.8$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.27 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 40c | 28.4$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.36 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Over | 72c | 26.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.49 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1121…6604backed Under | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 60c | 24.4$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.76 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc252…0aebbacked Over | 79c | 23.12$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.86 | 43 | 65.1%28 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8900…a444backed Under | 46c | 22.96$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.65 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0f…574cbacked Over | 55c | 21.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.51 | 28 | 89.3%25 W · 3 L | +6.7wins | +0.24per pick | 65cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Over | 61c | 19.53$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.62 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Under won
- Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.