Other European Leagues · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x681df8d823effea166e55f183562642feeb9b7c9be43755e6552d611e0b8c6ab
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,184
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,052
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,184 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe671…a682backed Over | 30c | 2,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 70c | 1,984$1,391 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$593.15 | 920 | 43.4%399 W · 521 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 24c | 985.13$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.79 | 71 | 28.2%20 W · 51 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 76c | 565.78$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.33 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd411…7a18backed Over | 33c | 499.9$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.97 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | +80.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 18c | 418.79$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.35 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x234b…f36dbacked Under | 79c | 399.03$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.8 | 122 | 61.5%75 W · 47 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3cf…493bbacked Under | 78c | 297.16$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.38 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 67c | 252.58$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.35 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 76c | 228.13$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.71 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Under | 66c | 217.62$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 216 | 58.8%127 W · 89 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 20c | 200$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 76c | 190$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0358…30e2backed Under | 80c | 176.94$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.39 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0c…4f2bbacked Under | 66c | 150.48$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.66 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 76c | 125$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked Under | 79c | 116.51$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.47 | 72 | 58.3%42 W · 30 L | +7.6wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 19c | 101.64$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.25 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed Over | 35c | 96.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.64 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 77c | 90$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.31 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 28c | 67.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.78 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 20c | 65.2$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 22c | 47.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.49 | 230 | 61.3%141 W · 89 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb5b…b455backed Under | 79c | 23.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Under | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 86 | 51.2%44 W · 42 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 80c | 15.02$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 1,159 | 60.7%703 W · 456 L | +68.5wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5this page
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-1.5)Trabzonspor won
- Spread: Galatasaray SK (-2.5)Trabzonspor won
- Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 3.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.