Tennis · resolved market
ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Trieste (Italy), clay: Gabriela Ce vs Valentina Steiner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x42b32d2078aae28f9b573dcd7601b489afdf3e14541686363d405f82e7f703bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gabriela Ceof Gabriela Ce, Valentina Steiner
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,418
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,091
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,418 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet's whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Gabriela Ce | 79c | 12,560$9,861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,698.97 | 11,877 | 43.3%5,143 W · 6,734 L | +19.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc55…3062backed Valentina Steiner | 6c | 7,235$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.45 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae5c…5df7backed Valentina Steiner | 37c | 4,000$1,499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.29 | 81 | 48.1%39 W · 42 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafef…f50ebacked Valentina Steiner | 30c | 2,597$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.2 | 53 | 41.5%22 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Valentina Steiner | 11c | 1,756$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.16 | 1,150 | 45.4%522 W · 628 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Valentina Steiner | 16c | 1,706$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.96 | 5,031 | 38.5%1,939 W · 3,092 L | -20.9wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x50b9…4467backed Valentina Steiner | 36c | 1,367$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.5 | 390 | 34.4%134 W · 256 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…ef3dbacked Valentina Steiner | 9c | 990.47$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.48 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d3…8a20backed Gabriela Ce | 74c | 700.03$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.47 | 114 | 67.5%77 W · 37 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 65cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ccf…c116backed Valentina Steiner | 48c | 551.35$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.46 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5317…9a3bbacked Valentina Steiner | 57c | 498.85$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.57 | 155 | 47.1%73 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked Gabriela Ce | 37c | 333.97$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.4 | 287 | 51.6%148 W · 139 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Gabriela Ce | 60c | 159.59$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.6 | 9,267 | 36.2%3,352 W · 5,915 L | -199.5wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Gabriela Ce | 54c | 85.11$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.15 | 3,303 | 40.2%1,329 W · 1,974 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5513…de2abacked Valentina Steiner | 23c | 73.24$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 877 | 38.2%335 W · 542 L | -21.7wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3005…458dbacked Valentina Steiner | 56c | 71.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.9wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c3…079fbacked Gabriela Ce | 49c | 67$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.17 | 907 | 64.3%583 W · 324 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0464…67dabacked Valentina Steiner | 50c | 60$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -32%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5974…5c32backed Gabriela Ce | 50c | 58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29 | 498 | 67.1%334 W · 164 L | +14.4wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3a3…3f10backed Valentina Steiner | 55c | 54.27$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Valentina Steiner | 50c | 50.38$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.19 | 2,111 | 54.2%1,145 W · 966 L | +65.5wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d0…681ebacked Valentina Steiner | 52c | 43.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.77 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Gabriela Ce | 46c | 41.11$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 410 | 54.4%223 W · 187 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x940e…e290backed Gabriela Ce | 49c | 41.06$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd32e…b577backed Valentina Steiner | 49c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.19 | 432 | 60%259 W · 173 L | +29.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88f9…5c03backed Valentina Steiner | 49c | 28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 413 | 57.9%239 W · 174 L | +20.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb3e…b9c5backed Valentina Steiner | 48c | 27.56$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 404 | 58.4%236 W · 168 L | +21.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8558…8615backed Valentina Steiner | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 343 | 63.8%219 W · 124 L | +38.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…c395backed Valentina Steiner | 55c | 21.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80.
- The position was at least $10.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.