Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-11.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x430c5da06d80ebf9f62e5cc12f79aac8c8a40d7b660a93244204c669ab058998
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Binghamton Bearcatsof Vermont Catamounts, Binghamton Bearcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,743
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,846
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,743 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Binghamton Bearcats | 48c | 2,047$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,069.7 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Vermont Catamounts | 53c | 1,817$954 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$954.13 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Vermont Catamounts | 52c | 1,100$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.43 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 49c | 275$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.25 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Vermont Catamounts | 50c | 213$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.5 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Binghamton Bearcats | 50c | 202.2$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.94 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Binghamton Bearcats | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15d5…ef7bbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 47c | 200$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 388 | 37.6%146 W · 242 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b2a…bc9bbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 50c | 199.18$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.18 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e27…9967backed Vermont Catamounts | 50c | 198.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.6 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Binghamton Bearcats | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b15…fa73backed Binghamton Bearcats | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 383 | 51.7%198 W · 185 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Binghamton Bearcats | 62c | 99.11$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.46 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57a8…6933backed Binghamton Bearcats | 50c | 72$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 746 | 49.2%367 W · 379 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Vermont Catamounts | 38c | 65.2$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.78 | 1,296 | 45.1%584 W · 712 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Vermont Catamounts | 51c | 49.94$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.58 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Vermont Catamounts | 49c | 47.1$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.08 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-11.5)this page
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-12.5)Binghamton Bearcats won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Binghamton BearcatsVermont Catamounts won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Binghamton Bearcats: O/U 137.5Over won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Binghamton Bearcats: O/U 138.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.