Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Vermont Catamounts vs. Binghamton Bearcats
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9c67e9cb78aba7986dfc781516fba149631987de94b50b3cf14fcce079e38a25
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vermont Catamountsof Vermont Catamounts, Binghamton Bearcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,740
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x284f…a991backed Binghamton Bearcats | 14c | 3,500$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7aa8…56dbbacked Vermont Catamounts | 77c | 2,927$2,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.89 | 1,058 | 55.8%590 W · 468 L | +34.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Binghamton Bearcats | 12c | 1,613$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.58 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Binghamton Bearcats | 33c | 1,611$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.53 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Binghamton Bearcats | 20c | 1,567$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.79 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Vermont Catamounts | 60c | 795.16$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.7 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 14c | 714.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 402 | 52.7%212 W · 190 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Binghamton Bearcats | 34c | 706.76$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.44 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Binghamton Bearcats | 28c | 697.65$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.88 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Binghamton Bearcats | 13c | 595.8$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.92 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ed1…caa2backed Vermont Catamounts | 61c | 573.77$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.77 | 253 | 25.3%64 W · 189 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 14c | 550.5$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.07 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Binghamton Bearcats | 31c | 547.58$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.59 | 104 | 37.5%39 W · 65 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 16c | 534.18$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.37 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Binghamton Bearcats | 16c | 520$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae09…60a2backed Binghamton Bearcats | 14c | 399.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7bc3…d183backed Binghamton Bearcats | 13c | 389.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -41.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Binghamton Bearcats | 13c | 307.69$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 255 | 44.3%113 W · 142 L | -7.4wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ffb…e82abacked Vermont Catamounts | 77c | 259.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.87 | 434 | 50%217 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x31d7…42c1backed Binghamton Bearcats | 29c | 253.21$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.43 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Binghamton Bearcats | 14c | 206.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.07 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked Vermont Catamounts | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 141 | 51.1%72 W · 69 L | -3.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Binghamton Bearcats | 14c | 200$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Binghamton Bearcats | 28c | 190$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.26 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe12a…67efbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 14c | 178.57$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 33cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Binghamton Bearcats | 12c | 166$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.92 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdfce…31fabacked Binghamton Bearcats | 19c | 160.96$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.36 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Binghamton Bearcats | 17c | 149.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 20c | 149$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.17 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 17c | 141.14$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x64a8…7bc3backed Vermont Catamounts | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 170 | 62.9%107 W · 63 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 68cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Binghamton Bearcats | 15c | 125$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.37 | 497 | 47.5%236 W · 261 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Binghamton Bearcats | 14c | 109$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.09 | 196 | 41.8%82 W · 114 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Binghamton Bearcats | 34c | 107.69$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd88a…1eefbacked Binghamton Bearcats | 13c | 107.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 208 | 34.6%72 W · 136 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb25f…32c9backed Binghamton Bearcats | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Binghamton Bearcats | 25c | 103.82$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.18 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfcd3…246abacked Binghamton Bearcats | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed Binghamton Bearcats | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x556c…5b77backed Binghamton Bearcats | 21c | 62$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.02 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Binghamton Bearcats | 26c | 57.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…1390backed Vermont Catamounts | 56c | 42$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.48 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Vermont Catamounts | 80c | 22.2$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.44 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Binghamton Bearcatsthis page
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-11.5)Binghamton Bearcats won
- Spread: Vermont Catamounts (-12.5)Binghamton Bearcats won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Binghamton Bearcats: O/U 137.5Over won
- Vermont Catamounts vs. Binghamton Bearcats: O/U 138.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.